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05 June, 2020


Intervjuu: Endine USA suursaadik Eestis James D. Melville
(Eesti Päevaleht)
“Ühed protestivad, teised rüüstavad ja Trump käristab ühiskonda.”




Monday evening, 1. June, without warning, heavily armed US federal troops beat a stunned crowd of peaceful protesters with batons, fired smoke grenades, rubber bullets, and chemical irritants, all to make way for a Presidential ‘photo op’ just outside the White House. 

Is the US sliding into illiberalism? Wherever it springs up, illiberalism assumes a familiar form: more corruption, greater restrictions on assembly and speech, constraints on the press, retribution against political opponents, oppression of minorities. Will it affect foreign policy, especially with the Baltics?


News from Estonia follows.


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US Presidential Tactics Pose Grave Threat to America's Democracy
(Chatham House)
“The president’s tweets and strong-arm tactics alongside images of violence on the streets of America has shocked international audiences and unsettled what remains of America’s symbolic power on the global stage.”








Photograph by Leigh Green / Alamy


NBC News Poll | 7. June 2020 | Screenshot by EstoNews





















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Friday 5. June
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Tumedanahaline eesti tüdruk: loodan, et tuleb päev, kui saan minna bussi ja inimesed ei tee suuri silmi
(Elu24)
“USA politseivägivalla- ja rassismivastased meeleavaldused on pannud ka eestlased rassismist rääkima. 19-aastane Tallinna tüdruk Anette jagas oma kogemust tumedanahalise eestlasena.”













Intervjuu: Endine USA suursaadik Eestis James D. Melville
(Eesti Päevaleht)
“Ühed protestivad, teised rüüstavad ja Trump käristab ühiskonda.”




Helme: Eesti soovib Euroopa Liidu välispiiri hoida lukus juuni lõpuni
(Postimees)
“Siseminister Mart Helme (EKRE) osales Euroopa Liidu (EL) justiits- ja siseküsimuste nõukogu mitteametlikul videokohtumisel, kus ütles oma kolleegidele, et Eesti pole valmis oma välispiiri avama 15. juunist.“






Estonia in favor of stronger protection of EU citizens against extradition to third countries 
(Baltic Times)
“… a person who committed a crime should not go unpunished, but it is important for us that Estonian citizens are not extradited lightly and are not treated inhumanely in a third country. To this end, it is necessary to receive operative information when an Estonian citizen is requested to be extradited from another EU country …”



Improving Crisis Response Logistics and NATO’s Strategic Deterrent 
by Trevor C. Howe, Elliott School of International Affairs 
“Estonia, having consistently expressed a profound suspicion of Russian foreign activities, should use its host status of this summit to attract American attention and funding to initiatives that will strengthen transatlantic ties. Three initiatives in particular – Rail Baltica, Via Baltica, and the Integration and Synchronisation of the Baltic States’ Electricity Systems – will help protect Baltic security …”





Baltic Security: The Same Challenges Remain, Even During a Pandemic
by Linas Kojala, Foreign Policy Research Institute
“Up to this point, Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia proved to be rather successful in tackling the pandemic. … Fighting disinformation attacks remains a crucial aspect of Baltic security.”



Prices fell more in Estonia in May than in any other country in the EU
(Marketscreener)









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Thursday 4. June
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Sotsiaaltöötajad lasid päranduseks saadud metsa linnurahu ajal maha võtta
Ülle Harju, Postimees
“Sotsiaaltöötajad said üksikult vanurilt päranduseks metsa populaarses järveäärses puhkekohas ja lasid selle kohalike nördimuseks lindude pesitsusajal lagedaks raiuda.”








Punitive Psychiatry Returns to Russia with a Vengeance
by Paul Goble
“Fifty years ago, the international community rose almost as one to denounce the Soviet practice of confining dissidents in psychiatric hospitals and treating them with mind-altering drugs, a practice Soviet doctors and officials justified by saying they were curing what they called “sluggish schizophrenia.”
—
            “Now, Russian officials are following the same path, but there are two major differences: There hasn’t been an upsurge of international condemnation, and the authorities now are doing this without any attempt at denial.”



Trump’s relationship with Europe goes from bad to nothingness
by David M. Herszenhorn, Politico
“At the start of his presidency, Donald Trump regarded Europe as an afterthought. Now, there seems little left to the relationship but a bitter aftertaste for EU leaders who spent three years trying and failing to coax and cajole the combustible American into buying into the Western alliance.”



Striking at the Heart of the Trans-Atlantic Bargain
(Spiegel)
“A leading German politician has proposed ridding Germany of American nuclear weapons. Two advisers to U.S. presidential candidate Joe Biden argue that doing so would significantly weaken NATO and Germany.”



Putin Regime Plays Up Clashes in US
by Paul Goble
“Just like their Soviet predecessors, the current  rulers of Russia play up the clashes in the West to suggest that such things can’t happen in Russia; but unlike the Soviets, Sergey Shelin says, the current Kremlin does so for another reason as well: to offer “new evidence for their obsessive fears and repressive inclinations.”





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Wednesday 3. June
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Intervjuu: President Kaljulaid
(Postimees)
“Eriolukord kestis Eestis 66 päeva. Hingame nüüd juba kolmandat nädalat sisse piirangutest vabanevat õhku. President Kersti Kaljulaid (50) vaatab tagasi erakordsele ajale töö juures, Kadriorus. Tema hinnangul ei loonud kriis uusi trende, vaid tõi ennegi olemas olnu teravamalt esile.”




Welcome to a World of Bubbles
(Foreign Policy)
“The collapse of global travel is unprecedented. About half of the world’s flights have been grounded, and passenger travel has declined by 95 percent. … Against this backdrop of severe economic losses, the idea of travel bubbles sounds particularly attractive. Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia launched the first such arrangement in May, allowing free movement for citizens of the three EU member states, at a time when travel within the larger bloc remains restricted.”










Labor shortages replaced by job shortages
(ERR)
“Bank of Estonia economist Orsolya Soosaar said on Wednesday the economic crisis caused by the coronavirus replaced labor shortages with job shortages. However, the lifting of restrictions gives hope to the recovery of the service sector.”



Estonia, the Reluctant Borrower, Goes Big on Virus
Ott Ummelas, Bloomberg
“The Covid-19 pandemic is changing that, with a 10-year debt sale of at least 1 billion euros ($1.1 billion) due in the coming weeks. Another of a similar size is planned for the fall and a third is possible next year, with maturities of up to 15 years under discussion …”



Belarus’s Relations With the Baltic States
(Jamestown Org.)
“Lithuania and Latvia implement sharply divergent policies toward Belarus. While Riga has chosen a pragmatic approach and tends not to focus on issues sensitive for Minsk, Vilnius often prioritizes a contentious political agenda, such as demanding an end to the construction of the Belarusian nuclear power plant at Astravets. The latter has led to serious political frictions between the two countries and created a deadlock in Belarusian negotiations with the European Union regarding partnership priorities as Lithuania blocks further efforts. Belarus’s relations with Estonia, compared to the two other Baltic states, remain far less intensive.”



Information Warfare: The Perils And Protections
(Strategy Page)
“… in late 2015, a large part of western Ukraine suffered a power blackout. Some 1.4 million homes and businesses went dark for several hours because of a computer virus (BlackEnergy) believed to be Russian …”
—
“The forerunner of this Ukraine attack hit tiny Estonia (population 1.3 million) as early as 2007. … Despite its small size Estonia is the most technically advanced (on a per-capita basis) nation in East Europe and was able to recruit several hundred skilled volunteers who are hard at work pooling their knowledge and skills to better handle more Cyber War aggression from Russia.”



Sweden’s COVID Death Rate Now Ten Times Higher than Norway’s
(National Review)
“There have now been ten times as many COVID-19 deaths in Sweden than Norway on a per capita basis. … 435 out of every one million Swedes have died from the virus, while the virus has killed 44 out of every million Norwegians.”



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29 May, 2020



“Estonia has good prerequisites to go through the corona crisis – empty spaces are plentiful, social distancing is part of the culture, digital solutions are widespread, and the health system is trustworthy. At the peak of the crisis, 60% of hospital beds and 17% of intensive-care beds were occupied. Still, learning points from the crisis are many. The communication by the authorities could have been clearer, restrictions fewer and better targeted, and the activities and messages by different parts of the state better streamlined.” 

Excerpt from Swedbank Macro Research: 



COVID-19 Eestis
Viimati uuendatud: 29. mai 2020
[Harjumaa 689 | Saaremaa 551 | Pärnumaa 144 | jne.]



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Friday 
29. May
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Kaitseminister Luik selgitas pärja viimist pronkssõduri juurde
(ERR)
“Pronkssõdurit peetakse hauamonumendiks ning selle juurde viiakse pärg 9. mai asemel 8. mail, et vaenuliku propaganda võimu vähendada, ütles kaitseminister Jüri Luik.”





1. juunist pääsevad 16 riigist saabujad Eestisse karantiinita
(ERR)
“Karantiini peavad välisminister Urmas Reinsalu sõnul jääma Rootsist, Belgiast, Portugalist, Maltalt, Luksemburgist, Itaaliast, Hispaaniast, Hollandist ja Taanist Eestisse reisinud inimesed. Samuti mitte Schengeni piirkonda mitte kuuluvatest riikidest Ühendkuningriigist ja Iirimaalt tulnud inimesed.”



Lifting of restrictions on passenger movement to Estonia for citizens of European countries
(GlobeNewswire)
“… 16 Schengen countries (Austria, the Czech Republic, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Norway, Poland, Slovakia, Slovenia and Switzerland) may enter Estonia without a quarantine obligation and in addition, citizens of 11 other European countries (Sweden, Belgium, Portugal, Malta, Luxembourg, Italy, Spain, the Netherlands, Denmark, Great Britain, Ireland) may enter the country, but must then remain in quarantine for two weeks.”









Millistes maailma riikides on koroonaviirus kontrolli all ehk kust Eestisse tulles pole karantiin vajalik?
(Delfi)
“Eestisse saabudes tuleb viibida 14 päeva karantiinis juhul, kui inimene saabub siia riigist, kus viimase 14 päeva COVID-19 haigestunute arv 100 000 elaniku kohta on suurem kui 15. Väiksema haigestunute arvuga riigist tulles karantiinis viibima ei pea.”





Interview: Prime Minister Jüri Ratas regarding COVID-19 emergency
(ERR)
“We will do it better, smarter next time. We will do everything we can do localize outbreaks. And we need to have a ready supply of personal protective gear. The general principle needs to be that we will not close Estonia, while we will isolate the virus.”



Kaitseministeerium näeb politsei abilisena pigem kaitseliitlasi kui kaitseväelasi
(ERR)
“… et peagi plaanib ministeerium tutvustada seaduseelnõusid, mis lubaks politsei- ja piirivalveametil (PPA) kriisi korral rohkem abiväge kaasata. Muu hulgas saaks PPA võimaluse kiirkorras uusi töötajaid värvata.”



Coronavirus Heats Up Estonian Sauna Industry
(Reuters | ERR)
“Saunas won’t cure coronavirus, however they are an antidote to the kind of stresses of our modern lives, and I’m sure the pandemic has heightened some of those stresses.”
—



Travel to the US may soon be possible for some travelers from Europe
(Forbes)
“With travel restrictions across Europe tumbling to make way for summer tourism, it’s only natural the U.S. looks to easing the rules, and rekindling Europe flights. It won’t necessarily be reciprocal. While Europe’s internal border controls are ending, there is still doubt as to whether the EU’s external borders will open to foreigners on June 15. Given the U.S. is seen as a high-risk country, some European states don’t plan to allow American tourists at the outset as they open up to tourism.”



A one kilometre railway section for NATO forces opened in Lithuania
(LRT)
“… will help connect the training and deployment area in Pabradė, eastern Lithuania, with the country’s only seaport of Klaipėda, facilitating the transport of allied forces.”



Air Travel Is Going to Be Very Bad, for a Very Long Time
(The Atlantic)
“For all intents and purposes, the airlines are shut down now. They’re still flying, but at vastly reduced levels. The majors are running maybe 5 or 10 percent of their normal number of departures. …”













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Thursday 
28. May
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Estonia Already Lives Online—Why Can’t the United States?
(The Atlantic)
“The United States, meanwhile, is experiencing a carnival fun-house version of attempted technological innovation, running into trick walls and watching as tasks that could be much simpler contort into nightmarish versions of themselves.”
—
“We have this expression that [Estonia] is ‘digital Narnia,’” Toomas Hendrik Ilves, Estonia’s president from 2006 to 2016, told me over the phone from Palo Alto, California. “It’s a lot better than other places, but we’re not digital Narnia. We don’t fax our pizzas!”





Goodbye, Open Skies Treaty
(Riddle)
“… what a US withdrawal from the Open Skies Treaty might look like for Russia and EU.”







Spain successfully leading NATO’s Baltic Air Policing
(NATO press release)
“Based at Šiauliai Airbase in Lithuania, the Spanish Air Force is helping to protect the airspace of NATO’s Baltic Allies Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania until the end of August.”






Evil Replaced by Evil: The Baltics, the USSR and the Nazis
(JF Ptak Books)
“This rare, offset-printed publication comes from the representatives of the Free trade Unions of the Baltic States–a part of the International Federation of trade Unions (IFTU)--and is dated December, 1943, and is a witness to the brutal regimes that illegally and maliciously subverted the countries of Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania.”





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Wednesday 
27. May
__________


Millal algab õppetöö Euroopa riikides?
(Delfi)
“Reps kinnitas õhtupoolikul üle, et ametlikult algab 2020/2021 kooliaasta ikka 1. septembril, kuid augusti keskel võiksid õppetööga alustada need, kes selleks soovi avaldavad.”





Kaitsevägi ostab Saabilt kõige moodsamad Carl-Gustavid
(ERR)
“Esimesed relvad jõuavad Eestisse aastal 2022 ja viimane tarne on planeeritud aastal 2024. Uusi granaadiheitjaid hakatakse kasutama paralleelselt praegu kaitseväe varustusse kuuluvate modifikatsioonirelvadega M2 ja M3.”





Nordic, Baltic economies will be hit hard but can bounce back
(Latvian Broadcasting)
"The Nordic and Baltic economies will be hard hit by the COVID-19-induced shock due to their small size and relative openness. Strong economic fundamentals and a timely reaction to the health crisis ensure that the countries are in an advantageous position to take on the challenge," says Swedbank in its latest Nordic-Baltic Business Report.”



"We Will Have to Learn to Live with COVID-19”
(Spiegel)
“Belgian pandemic expert Peter Piot helped discover the Ebola virus, and is currently advising the EU on the COVID-19 pandemic. He is also a survivor of the disease, and found it much worse than he had expected.”



Euroopa Komisjon pakkus välja 750 miljardi suuruse taaskäivituse
(Postimees)
“Euroopa Komisjoni president Ursula von der Leyen tutvustas täna europarlamendi ees kauaoodatud ELi uut eelarvekava ja samuti taaskäivitamisfondi, mis kannab nime «Järgmise põlvkonna EL».”








Eesti saaks 1,8 miljardi eest toetusi
(ERR)
“Euroopa Komisjoni energeetikavolinik Kadri Simson ütles kolmapäeval ERR-ile, et Komisjoni pakutava kava kohaselt saaks Eesti uuest fondist 1,8 miljardi euro eest toetusi. Lisaks kasvaks ka Ida-Virumaale laekuvad toetussummad, kuna suureneks rohelise ülemineku tagajärgede leevendamiseks loodava õigase ülemineku fondi (JTF) maht. Samuti oleks Euroopa Ühendamise rahastus (CEF) nii palju vahendeid, et Euroopa Liidu järgmise eelarveperioodi (2021-2027) jooksul saaks Rail Balticu valmis ehitada.”






How the Coronavirus Revealed the Hollowness of Putin’s “Vertical of Power”
(The New Yorker)
“The pandemic has shown that Vladimir Putin’s system is better at fostering a kind of psychic or virtual power than wielding real power in a time of genuine crisis.”






Moscow Orchestrates Controversy Between Bulgaria and Ukraine to Weaken Kyiv
by Paul Goble
“Tensions between the countries would make it more difficult for the Bulgarian authorities to support Ukrainian aspirations to join the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) and the European Union, thus forcing Kyiv to turn back in Moscow’s direction. This Russian-backed and -exploited controversy has touched off a diplomatic row between the two governments. …”



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