âVladimir Putin has one advantage only. As a KGB officer he learned to play head games with his enemies, be they dissidents or foreign powers. Fear is not the consequence of Russian actions but rather their object. It is Moscowâs chief weapon, and Russian leaders are adept in its use. But fear is also susceptible to the remedy applied by the Ukrainians today, and by many others in the past. Courage, as Churchill famously said, is the virtue that makes all other virtues possible. Without courage, the West cannot succeed, but with it, it cannot fail.â
From âThe Strategy That Can Defeat Putin,â
- The Atlantic, 7. March 2022
"We are not afraid, but we are preparing.â
- Prime Minister Kaja Kallas
__________
Hr. Sööt signed the back of the painting with the date of 1974 with a phrase which roughly translates to:
âBut one day it will be timeâ
Photos by Kathy Harju and Mathew Harju |
__________
Amid war in Ukraine, are Estonia's Russian speakers ready to embrace the West?
(Estonian World Review | Deutsche Welle)
âRussia's attack on Ukraine is putting Russian speakers in Estonia under pressure to decide which side of history they are on. The Estonian government is under pressure to help them feel more at home in the Baltic state. ⊠"We have 70,000 gray passports in Estonia, we have 80,000 Russian citizens in Estonia," Narva native Margarita KĂ€llo told Laanet at Tartu University's Narva College. "I see it as a big problem, first of all for Estonia, for our security."
Or:
The West didnât listen to the Baltic States nor Poland about the Kremlin
(Politico-Europe)
âThe Western Europeans pooh-poohed and patronized us for these last 30 years,â said RadosĆaw Sikorski, a former Polish foreign minister. âFor years [they] were patronizing us about our attitude: âOh, you know, you over-nervous, over-sensitive Central Europeans are prejudiced against Russia.ââ
â
âThe Easterners say they ran into a brick wall when they made pleas for increased NATO deployments, drew attention to cyberattacks, and called on Berlin not to let the EU be held hostage by giant pipelines pumping gas straight into Germany. The outspoken, pugnacious Sikorski, then defense minister, triggered outrage in thin-skinned diplomatic circles in 2006 when he dared compare the Russia-to-Germany Nord Stream gas pipeline project, which bypassed Poland, to the Molotov-Ribbentrop pact of 1939 that divided Poland between the Nazis and Soviets.â
â
âPolish and Baltic leaders saw Russiaâs invasion of Crimea in 2014 as a defining threshold that signaled that Putin needed to be stopped with a genuine show of force from the West, or otherwise he would go on to attack more targets. In fruitless meetings in Brussels, however, Polish and Baltic diplomats found that most of the European Union was reluctant to impose heavy sanctions on Moscow despite its invasion of an EU ally. ⊠For linguistic and historical reasons â as well as pure fear of the danger across the border â the Baltic states often have excellent intelligence and analysis of Russian activity, but could find themselves roundly ignored. âŠâ
__________
Friday 11. March
Juhtkiri: Rohkem julgust, Euroopa Liit!
(Postimees)
âEuroopa Liidu Versaillesâs tehtud avaldus Ukraina kohta viib selle sĂ”diva riigi kĂŒll Euroopale lĂ€hemale, kuid teha annaks rohkem. See on nii Ukraina, Eesti kui ka terve Euroopa huvides.â
â
âSĂ”jaolukord on pannud mitu riiki oma poliitikat kardinaalselt muutma. Nii nĂ€iteks on Saksamaa, Rootsi ja Soome hakanud andma relvastust Ukrainale. MĂ”ni nĂ€dal tagasi oleks sellist sammu peetud mĂ”eldamatuks.â
Ukraina: Venemaa territoriaalsed edusammud on peatunud
(ERR)
âVenemaa president Vladimir Putin teatas samal ajal Moskvas ĂŒllatuslikult, et Ukrainaga peetavatel kĂ”nelustel on "positiivseid arenguid". Ukraina vĂ€itel on rĂŒnnakuga ĂŒhinemas ka Valgevene vĂ€ed.â
https://www.err.ee/1608528412/ukraina-venemaa-territoriaalsed-edusammud-on-peatunud
Ămari lennubaasi saabusid Taani sĂ”durid
(ERR)
âTaani kaitsevĂ€elased JĂŒĂŒti TragunirĂŒgementi kuuluvast Viikingikompaniist on osa Ăhendkuningriigi juhitavast NATO lahingugrupist Tapal, mis on integreeritud Eesti 1. jalavĂ€ebrigaadi. Taani kontingendi moodustab umbes 150 sĂ”durit koos ligi 70-liikmelise toetusmeeskonnaga logistikateenistuses ja sĂ”javĂ€epolitseis.â
https://www.err.ee/1608529165/pildid-amari-lennubaasi-saabusid-taani-sodurid
PPA launches emergency response plan to manage war refugee arrivals
(ERR)
âThe agency's plan will create a joint headquarters which will include the Ministry of Social Affairs, the Ministry of the Interior, the Social Insurance Agency, the Health Board, the Defense League, the Rescue Board and local governments. ⊠the PPA will coordinate the refugees' arrivals.â
https://news.err.ee/1608529138/ppa-launches-emergency-response-plan-to-manage-war-refugee-arrivals
âPPA hakkab juhtima Ukraina sĂ”japĂ”genike Eestisse vastuvĂ”tmist.â - ERR
âMore than 14,000 war refugees have arrived in Estonia from Ukraine.â - ERR
âMiks palus Eesti abi Frontexilt?â - Postimees
âEstonia Closes Its Visa Centers in Russia & Belarus.â - SchengenVisaInfo
Ambassador: I hope the Finns realize time for joining NATO is short
(ERR)
âThe Finnish government is set to present the parliament with a report that also treats with NATO accession. The process is coming along promptly, considering Finland's usual thoroughness and the Nordic search for consensus. There could be some clarity by early summer in terms of looming changes in Finnish foreign, security and defense policy. The defense budget will be hiked, that much is for sure and has been confirmed by Prime Minister Sanna Marin.â
â
âFinland and Sweden have been saying for years that they will try to make the NATO decision jointly and through consultations. Discussions have come along much faster in Finland today, while Stockholm can count on the latter being between it and Moscow. The Finns feel more in a hurry than Sweden.â
https://news.err.ee/1608528745/ambassador-i-hope-the-finns-realize-time-for-joining-nato-is-short
âLithuanian government proposes to up defense spending to 2.5 pct GDP.â - Delfi
Niinistö Putinile: Ukraina vajab kiiresti vaherahu
(Postimees)
âTĂ€na pĂ€rastlĂ”unal avaldatud presidendi kantselei pressiteate sĂ”nul keskendusid Niinistö ja Putin oma vestluses eranditult Ukraina sĂ”jale. Kantselei teatel rĂ”hutas Niinistö sĂŒvenevat katastroofi Ukrainas ja sĂŒgavaid inimkannatusi, mis avaldavad tugevat mĂ”ju ka lÀÀne arvamustele.â
NATO: Russia is launching many air operations from Belarus
(The Hill)
â⊠it is hard to tell if Belarus has any of its own troops participating in the war as Russia, Belarus and Ukraine all use similar fighter jets.â
âPutin Recognizes Borders and Political Systems of Post-Soviet States Only If They Donât Allow Outsiders to Influence Them.â - by Paul Goble
Thursday 10. March
Estonian folk singer Mari Kalkun releases a Ukraine-themed song
By Silver Tambur, Estonian World
âSomewhere Thereâs War.â
â
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wGDeZcjHIz8
Estonian cities struggling to find accommodation for Ukrainian refugees
(ERR)
âAs of Thursday, 12,488 Ukrainians have arrived in Estonia and 4,000 of that number have been children. Of the total number, 3,002 were people transiting on to other countries. ⊠NGO's Eesti Pagulasabi, Mondo and the Center for Human Rights are now demanding a plan from the government for when Estonia has reached the 10,000 refugee limit.â
âRefugees in Estonia: The most important thing is that there is no war here.â - ERR, 9. March
âWhat do Russians in Estonia think about the war in Ukraine?â - Deutsche Welle via Estonian World, 8. March
âBaltic nations help Ukrainians defend themselves.â - Washington Diplomat
Interview: Toomas Hendrik Ilves
(Lawfare - podcast)
âDavid Priess spoke with Ilves about his parents' experience fleeing wartime Estonia as Russians started mass deportations to Siberia, his education and early exposure to coding in 1971, the cyberattacks of 2007, how the government and society responded, how others in Europe reacted to this and other Russian provocations âŠâ
https://shows.acast.com/chatter/episodes/recovering-from-a-russian-attack-with-toomas-ilves
âInterview: Former President of Latvia Vaira Vike-Freiberga.â - RFERL
The Baltics look to Britain to firm up NATO support
(Politico-Europe)
âSecurity cooperation between the U.K. and the three Baltic states â Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania â has long been regarded as strong and unaffected by the drama of Brexit.
But since Russia invaded Ukraine last month, this relationship has taken on a new dimension, and become a clear axis in Europeâs wider security debate. The Baltics have compiled a âwishlistâ of demands to better protect their borders, including permanent NATO bases and air defense systems, which the region does not currently have. They are painfully aware that Russian President Vladimir Putin demanded in December that NATO withdraw all its forces from the region, once part of the Soviet Union. Their requests have met with a sympathetic response in London, where the government is happy to support their case. âŠâ
https://www.politico.eu/article/baltics-uk-security-nato-fears-russia-attack/
âJĂŒri Luik: Eestile on vaja pĂŒsivat Ă”hukaitset.â - ERR
âEesti ja Soome lasid Ă”ppusel Stingereid.â - Postimees
âRutjal toimusid Stingeritega Ă”hutĂ”rje lahinglaskmised.â - ERR
âAre the Baltic republics ready?â - Deutsche Welle, 5. March
âWill NATO draw a red line for Putin?â - Deutsche Welle, 8. March
âThe next 3 years will be critical for European security.â - Delfi
âLatvian Defense Minister Demands Weapons from Germany.â - Spiegel
âBriti erukindral: NATO satub varem vĂ”i hiljem Venemaaga vastakuti.â - ERR
How NATO guarantees the security of the Baltic states
By Michele E. Commercio, London School of Economics
âWhile Putinâs invasion of Ukraine has generated concern â to say the least â in neighbouring post-Soviet states like Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania, these countries are in a fundamentally different situation than Ukraine that, in effect, renders them secure from Russian aggression. ⊠These security concerns are grounded in the ugly history experienced by the Baltic peoples in 1940, when the Soviet Union illegally occupied and annexed three independent states while the international community essentially looked the other way.â
https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/europpblog/2022/03/07/how-nato-guarantees-the-security-of-the-baltic-states/
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Putinâs War
__________
Moscow to Expand List of âUnfriendlyâ Countries and Impose Real Costs
By Paul Goble
âMoscow political analyst Marat Bashirov says the new list wonât be anything like the former because ânow it is perfectly clear that we are all in a new world. That which was the case ten days ago and that which is the case now are two very different worlds.â
http://windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2022/03/moscow-to-expand-list-of-unfriendly.html
Russian militaryâs corruption quagmire
(Politico-Europe, 8. March)
âSystemic corruption in Russia's defense forces could explain the underwhelming military performance. ⊠On the operational level, the corruption in defense procurement has also likely undermined logistics, manifesting in soldiers receiving inadequate equipment and supplies on the ground. Poor logistics slows down the advancement of troops, undermines their morale and hinders military effectiveness.â
â
âEarly on in the invasion, there were accounts indicating that some Russian soldiers received rations that had expired in 2015. Most companies responsible for providing food to the Russian military are connected to Yevgeny Prigozhin â the patron of PMC Wagner, the mercenary organization, and sponsor of the Internet Research Agency âŠâ
https://www.politico.eu/article/russia-military-corruption-quagmire/
Moscow patriarch stokes Orthodox tensions with war remarks
(AP, 8. March)
âRussian Orthodox Patriarch Kirill, leader of Russiaâs dominant religious group, has sent his strongest signal yet justifying his countryâs invasion of Ukraine â describing the conflict as part of a struggle against sin and pressure from liberal foreigners to hold âgay paradesâ as the price of admission to their ranks. ⊠with no mention of Russiaâs widespread invasion and its bombardment of civilian targets.â
Even Russian State TV Is Pleading With Putin to Stop the War
By Julia Davis, Daily Beast, 10. March
âState propagandists called for Putin to end the âspecial military operationâ before âfrighteningâ sanctions destabilize his regime and risk civil war in Russia.â
An Open Letter from Ukraineâs first lady
(BNN, 9. March)
âOlena Zelenska, the first lady of Ukraine, has published an open letter to foreign media. In it, she evaluates that Russia is currently committing a mass murder of Ukrainians and emphasised the need of closing Ukrainian air space. Zelenska has also expressed the hope that life, not death would win this war.â
https://bnn-news.com/ukraines-first-lady-despite-all-this-horror-ukrainians-do-not-give-up-233061
âUkrainian women are showing the world what theyâre made of in the fight against Russia.â - Task & Purpose
Voices Of Ukrainian Women In Wartime: 'How Can The Heart Bear It?â
(RFERL, 8. March)
Yulia: âI have an aunt and a sister in Estonia, and I want to leave my child with them and get back home. My parents are still in Kharkiv. I'm worried about them all the time. They live in a high-rise building, so I'm praying every second âŠâ
â
Hanna: âWhen the artillery barrages started, I went down into the shelters. I thought I would help out there for four hours or so. But I ended up staying for four days. There were so many children; some of the women were carrying newborn babies. Someone had to wash those children, help make them some porridge. Bring things, distribute them, talk to people, help to calm themâŠ.â
â
Lyudmila: âEvery one of us has relatives in Ukraine, family in Ukraine. Everyone. There used to be the Soviet Union and we were all the same. Why is it that now brothers should go fight against brothers? What is the point of this war? I don't know. I just want it to end as soon as possible. I want my son to come home. That is all that I want. âŠâ
â
Unidentified: âThis is a catastrophe. Hitler never did the things that they are doing now. They are led by a psychopath who has zombified his whole country so that they don't believe what is being done to us here. I have a friend who lives in Russia, and I told her about all this, and she just said, âIt is your Nazis who are doing it.â That is how those bastards have zombified them. It is horrible. ⊠My life began during a war, and unfortunately it is ending with this horrible war.â
https://www.rferl.org/a/ukraine-war-international-womens-day/31743354.html
Russiaâs Antiwar Protesters Are Terrified And still marching
(New York Magazine, 9. March)
âAlmost as quickly as the invasion in Ukraine began, so too did antiwar protests in Russia, a challenge to Vladimir Putinâs regime that has been met with a fierce response. Thousands gathered in the countryâs largest cities, and at least 13,000 protesters have been arrested since February 24, according to OVD-Info, a human-rights organization that advocates for freedom of assembly in Russia. ⊠Most protesters were in their 20s and early 30s, and many say the generational divide is a symptom of different media diets. While younger generations get their news from Instagram, Telegram, or Facebook, older generations tune in to state-run TV. âWe say they were âbrainwashed by TV,ââ said Anastasia, a 30-year-old in St. Petersburg.â
âUN says more than 2.5 million refugees have left Ukraine.â - The Hill
âRussian activists defy Putin to protest war in Ukraine.â - Deutsche Welle
âZâ Is the Symbol of the New Russian Politics of Aggression.â - New Yorker
âHow a 'fact-checking' website is spreading Russian propaganda.â - Deutsche Welle
âUkrainian Warfare Tactics Greatly Impact Russian Advance.â - Warrior Maven
âPutin is likely angry and frustrated and has no sustainable political end game.â - The Week, 8. March
âArming Ukraine: 17,000 Anti-Tank Weapons in 6 Days.â - New York Times
âOpinion: We are not at war with the Russian people.â - Washington Post
âOver 200 Companies Have Withdrawn from Russia.â - Yale School of Management
âMoldova worries it might be next.â - Washington Post
âUrban combat is the great equalizer.â - Task & Purpose
âPutinâs solo path to war.â - Christian Science Monitor
âInside Russiaâs Anti-Putin Protests.â - Mother Jones
__________
Wednesday 9. March
Tallinnas mÀlestati mÀrtsipommitamises hukkunuid
(ERR | Postimees)
âKolmapĂ€eval möödus 78 aastat NĂ”ukogude Liidu lennuvĂ€e pommirĂŒnnakust Tallinnale. Tallinnas mĂ€lestati mĂ€rtsipommitamises hukkunud kaasmaalasi ja Ukrainas Venemaa sissetungi tĂ”ttu hukkunuid. 1944. aasta 9. mĂ€rtsi Ă”htul ja sellele jĂ€rgneval ööl korraldas NĂ”ukogude Ă”huvĂ€gi Tallinnale kaks pommirĂŒnnakut, mille tĂ”ttu hukkus 554 Eesti kodanikku, 50 saksa sĂ”durit ja 121 sĂ”javangi.â
â
âKahes rĂŒnnakulaines hĂ€vis kokku 1549 hoonet ja 3350 sai kahjustada. Tollasest linna elamispinnast moodustas see ligi kolmandiku. Pea 20 000 elanikku jĂ€i ilma oma kodudest. HĂ€vis rahvussĂŒmbol Estonia teater ja vanalinn sai rĂ€ngalt kannatada Harju tĂ€nava piirkonnas.â
https://www.err.ee/1608526346/tallinnas-malestati-martsipommitamises-hukkunuid
â
âTallinn commemorates 1944 March bombing, war in Ukraine.â - ERR
Kaja Kallas address to the European Parliament
(ERR)
â⊠you could say we Estonians have some experience in being deported and fleeing wars. And we also have some experience with Russia, which we have been trying to share with the rest of the EU since we joined. It was 78 years ago today that the Red Army bombed my hometown Tallinn to the ground. But my mother ⊠always taught me that it was impolite to say "I told you so."
https://news.err.ee/1608526109/kallas-we-knew-our-neighbor-then-and-we-know-our-neighbor-now
Kallase Euroopa Parlamendi kÔne tÀistekst.- Vabariigi Valitsus
âThe EU has a 'moral duty' to make Ukraine a member state: Estonia PM.â - Euronews
SÔjapÔgenikud Eestis: kÔige olulisem, et siin pole sÔda
(ERR)
âUkraina pĂ”genike hulk on ĂRO pagulasameti andmeil jĂ”udnud juba kahe miljonini. Tuhanded ukrainlased on tulnud ka Eestisse siinsete sugulaste juurde, olles tĂ€nulikud ĂŒksnes vĂ”imaluse eest elada pideva hirmutundeta.â
https://www.err.ee/1608525167/sojapogenikud-eestis-koige-olulisem-et-siin-pole-soda
âEstonia blocks e-Residency for new Russian, Belarusian citizens.â - ERR
âEstonia Suspends e-Residency Scheme, Tourist Visas for Russians.â - The Moscow Times
âKapo: Vene kodanikelt relvaloa Ă€ravĂ”tmist tasub kaaluda.â - ERR
âSĂ”da Ukrainas on tekitanud Eesti ehitusturul tööjĂ”u- ja materjalipuuduse.â - ERR
Secretary Antony J. Blinken and Estonian Prime Minister Kaja Kallas Press Availability at Stenbock House
(US State Department)
âKallas: We need to be prepared that the worst is still to come.â - ERR
Fake news about Ukrainians attacking Russians in Estonia circulate in social media
(Estonian World, 5. March)
âTodayâs examples are shared posts about an elderly lady being attacked in a bus to Kopli [in Tallinn]. Theyâre specifically saying it was bus number 73 that actually does go to Kopli. There was an example of a woman being attacked in Pae Park being stabbed. There was an example of Ukrainians humiliating Russophones at Reidi Road. None of these events were true, police have checked them all.â Said Aivar Alavere, the police boardâs crisis manager.
âPealtnĂ€gija: kes on Kremli propaganda staarid?â - ERR
âPostimees newspaper launches Ukrainian language website.â - ERR
Moscow demands that Baltic countries protect Russiaâs embassies
(Reuters)
â⊠after a Russian diplomat was attacked in the Lithuanian capital Vilnius, the Russian RIA news agency said. "We are warning Vilnius, Riga and Tallinn that they are responsible for the consequences of the anti-Russian psychosis they have unleashed," the Russian foreign ministry was quoted as saying.â
âAfter Moscow disseminated demands to the Baltic States, experts agree: the regime is trying to take advantage of it.â - Lithuanian Tribune
âLithuania names road leading to Russian embassy âUkrainian Heroes Streetâ.â - The Guardian
Belarus has effectively ceded control of their military to Moscow
(The Guardian)
âFour days after the invasion began, Belarus President Lukashenko revoked his countryâs post-cold war constitutional neutrality after a staged referendum gave him clearance to host not just Russian forces permanently but Russian nuclear weapons, removed from the country after the fall of the Soviet Union in 1991.â
â
âThe new Belarus military doctrine appears to remove any remaining facade of independence in Minsk. Moreover, the move to abandon its nuclear-free status and allow Russia to place nuclear weapons on Belarus soil raises an immediate strategic alarm for the west. It also coincided with Putinâs 28 February announcement that he was putting Russiaâs nuclear force on alert.â
âDoes an Elite Exist in Belarus? Two Minsk Scholars Have Doubts.â - Paul Goble
âBelarus is also an aggressor and must be sanctioned just like Russia.â - Baltic Times
âTsikhanouskaya tells Estonia: Let's separate regime and Belarusians.â - BT
Tuesday 8. March
Prime Ministers of Finland and Estonia meet in Tallinn
(Valtioneuvosto)
âIn connection with their meeting, the prime ministers received a report on Finnish-Estonian relations, which was commissioned jointly by the countriesâ governments and has been drawn up over the past year.â
https://valtioneuvosto.fi/en/-/10616/prime-ministers-of-finland-and-estonia-meet-in-tallinn
âEstonian PM promises "lightning quick" ratification if Finland submits Nato application.â - Yle
âFinland outlines plans to increase defence co-operation after meetings with US, Sweden.â - Helsinki Times
âIf Putin succeeds in Ukraine, he may âtest the unity of Natoâ next, warns Estoniaâs PM.â - The Times, UK
âUS assures nervous Baltics of NATO protection against Russia.â - AP
âMost Finnish MPs decline to reveal Nato stance.â - Yle
Soome peaminister Sanna Marin: Arutelu NATO-ga liitumise ĂŒle tuleb kiire
(ERR)
âEesti valitsusjuht Kaja Kallas kinnitas, et Eesti tervitaks Soome ĂŒhinemist alliansiga ning ratifitseeriks selle vĂ€lgukiirusel. "Me ei venita, aga peame vĂ€ga pĂ”hjaliku debati sel teemal. Praegu kaalume, mil moel see arutelu tuleks pidada, kuna otsus puudutaks nii Soome kaitsejĂ”udusid, laiemalt julgeolekut kui ka majandust," ĂŒtles Marin pressikonverentsil.â
https://www.err.ee/1608523556/marin-arutelu-nato-ga-liitumise-ule-tuleb-kiire
âTallinna kĂŒlastanud Sanna Marin lubas pĂ”hjalikku ja kiiret NATO-debatti Soomes.â - Postimees
âMarin ja Kallas Pressikonverents.â - Postimees
âInterview: Estonian Foreign Minister Eva-Maria Liimets.â - France 24
âOmniva annab Ukraina toetuseks vĂ€lja uue postmargi.â - ERR
When Finland Mattered â And Why It Matters Again
(Politico, 7. March)
âFinland has a long border with Russia, and despite its cultural ties to Scandinavia and Europe, Russian leaders have long considered it inside their sphere of influence. In practice, this means that Finland has repeatedly found itself in the middle of East-West standoffs. âŠâ
https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2022/03/07/finland-mattered-why-matters-again-00014580
Danish troops and equipment arrive in Estonia
(ERR)
âTransport ship bringing to Estonia Danish Piranha V armored personnel vehicles and other equipment docked in Paldiski on Monday âŠâ
https://news.err.ee/1608523583/danish-troops-and-equipment-arrive-in-estonia
âTaani kaitsevĂ€elased ja tehnika saabuvad Eestisse.â - Eesti KaitsevĂ€gi
âEstonia bans citizens, residents from joining Russia, Belarus army.â - Euractiv
âBritish military vehicles in Estonia headed towards Russian border.â - News Au
And Finally:
How This Superyacht Became an
Overnight Geopolitical Mystery
(Architectural Digest)
"No one, not even the Italian police, can identify who the enormous vessel belongs to, which leads the world to believe it may be someone tied to one of the worldâs most currently despised leaders: Vladimir Putin."
https://www.architecturaldigest.com/story/superyacht-became-overnight-geopolitical-mystery
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