Powered By Blogger

24 January, 2020


Kaljulaid Antartikas
(BNN | ERR | Baltic Times)
“On 21. January Kaljulaid arrived on the King George Island after taking a flight from South America. On the island, she joined the Admiral Bellingshausen expedition arranged by the Estonian Maritime Museum and NGO Thetis, commemorating the 200th anniversary of the discovery of Antarctica.”














__________

Friday 
24. January
__________


Site selection for Estonia's first nuclear power plant underway
(ERR)
“Fermi Energia is committed to building a modern modular nuclear power plant with a capacity of 200-300 MW. By comparison, Estonia's total electricity consumption on a white and warm midsummer night is 400 MW. … (the) nuclear plant could be completed in the early 2030s if the optimistic scenario is met.”



Estonians divided on security risk posed by current government
(ERR)
“Estonians are divided on whether the actions of the current government are a security risk to the country, the results of a survey show.”



When Russia Goes to War: Motives, Means and Indicators
by Konrad Muzyka - ICDS
“When Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania joined the Euro-Atlantic structures in 2004, they permanently detached themselves from the direct tools of Russian influence. Russian military operations against the Baltic states are very unlikely in the current security environment.”
—
“Russia’s goals in the opening stages of a conflict would thus be the total destruction of the opposing forces and their combat potential. Any Allied forces in north-east Poland would also need to be engaged and destroyed to prevent timely reinforcement of the Baltic states. Russian forces in the Kaliningrad Oblast would play a supplementary role …”
—
“Russia’s chances of seizing the Baltic states could be significantly raised by using Belarus (also its armed forces) as a springboard for operations …”
or



The Number of American troops in the Baltics is not everything
(Baltic Times)
“I actually see the Donald Trump administration's approach to the Baltic states with a certain level of continuity with the previous administration. (...)  You have a European security initiative which was the focus of the US Congress and the previous administration to really bulk up our defenses, the NATO defenses, in part with an eye towards the Baltics. And that has only increased. … the question isn’t more forces – it’s a smart application of forces.” - security expert Roger Zakheim



EL ja Boris Johnson allkirjastasid Ühendkuningriigi lahkumise leppe
(ERR)
“Lepe jõuab europarlamenti 29. jaanuaril ning kaks päeva hiljem, 31. jaanuaril kinnitavad leppe kirjalikult ka EL-i riikide diplomaadid. See tagab brittide lahkumise blokist 31. jaanuari keskööl.”






Miks on Putinile stalinlik ajalugu nii oluline?
Marko Mihkelson - Edasi
“KGB arhiivides on Orwelli “1984” peetud küll “kõige jälgimaks raamatuks Nõukogude Liidu kohta”, kuid selle üks tuntumaid tsitaate “Kes kontrollib minevikku, see kontrollib tulevikku; kes kontrollib olevikku, see kontrollib minevikku” on ilmselt iga tšekisti katekismuseks.”


 Stalini sünniaastapäevale pühendatud plakat Moskvas, 2019

Why Stalinist history matters to Putin
by Marko Mihkelson - ERR
“While the KGB archives have described "1984" as "one of the most disgusting books about the Soviet Union," one of its most famous quotes: "Who controls the past controls the future: who controls the present controls the past," likely constitutes words to live by for every Chekist.”



Putin the ‘Historian’ versus Poland
by Igor Gretskiy - Riddle
“On the eve of the Catholic Christmas, Vladimir Putin gave Warsaw an unpleasant “present.” He made three public statements within five days, claiming the Polish pre-war government was partially responsible for unleashing World War II. In fact, Putin accused Poland of collusion with Hitler driven by expansionism, anti-Semitism and hostility towards the Soviet Union. … Putin clearly wanted to provoke Poland. And he succeeded: his rather free interpretation of history raised a storm of indignation among the Polish public.”



Subverting Nato From Within
by Janusz Bugajski  - CEPA 14. Jan
“For Russia’s officials, there are three categories of NATO states: the vulnerable, the exploitable, and the resisters. The vulnerable states are small countries bordering Russia or new members that are more susceptible to outside pressures. The three Baltic republics of Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania are more exposed than other NATO members and the Kremlin combines disinformation offensives and direct threats to try and undermine their governments and limit their engagement with the United States and other allies.”



Russian Activists Launch 'Public Campaign' Against Putin's 'Constitutional Coup’
(RFERL)
“A group of more than 30 activists, public figures and local Moscow politicians have created an online "manifesto" urging Russian citizens to resist President Vladimir Putin's proposed constitutional amendments.”
—
“Novaya Gazeta, which published the document late on January 23, said more than 8,000 have already signed the manifesto, which calls Putin's amendments a "constitutional coup" that is directed at keeping "Putin and his corrupt regime" in power until he dies.”






Learning from Estonia Could Transform Croatia in Under 5 Years
(Total Croatia News)
“There is one major difference between Estonia succeeding and Croatia, and Estonia holds a huge advantage in this regard. Ironically, it has the Soviet Union to thank for enabling its current success to happen. Estonians were so against the old regime with independence that they were willing to trust their new government, which made the introduction of all this much easier, as residents were more trusting that their data would be protected. Given the polarised nature of Croatian society, there would have to be a different approach.”







__________

Thursday 
23. January
__________


Kreml taaselustab Eestis punamonumente
(Propastop)
“Järve metsa kivil jäeti kasutamata võimalus loobuda taastamise käigus propagandistlikust tekstist “Igavene mälestus langenutele võitluses fašismiga” ja asendada see neutraalse lausega “Igavene mälestus II maailmasõjas langenutele”.



Putini põhiseadusmuudatused läbisid riigiduumas esimese lugemise
(ERR)
“Venemaa alamkoja saadikud kiitsid neljapäeval esimesel lugemisel ühehäälselt heaks eelnõu, mis kätkeb president Vladimir Putini põhiseadusmuudatusi. Ees seisavad veel teine ja kolmas lugemine.”



Selgusid metsloomaohtlikud teelõigud
(Postimees)
“Maanteeamet analüüsis koostöös keskkonnakonsultatsioonifirmaga Hendrikson & Ko aastatel 2014–2018 riigimaanteedel juhtunud loomaõnnetusi ja koondas need registrisse. Andmete põhjal valmis avalik kaardirakendus, kus saab tutvuda eriti ulukiohtlike teelõikudega.”



Zelensky Walks the Knife’s Edge
(The American Interest)
“… events have conspired to create an inauspicious set of circumstances under which to pursue his chosen path—a situation that could both destabilize his government domestically and undermine Ukraine with respect to its great northern antagonist. By all accounts, Zelensky acquitted himself well in his first major test at the Normandy Format Summit on December 9, but the underlying state of affairs will remain disproportionately fraught for both Ukraine and Zelensky.”





__________

Wednesday 
22. January
__________


Vana mets aeglustab turberaiel uute puude kasvukiirust
(Novaator)
“Turberaie abil uuendatud metsas on kasvama hakkavate noorte puude kasvukiirus võrreldes lageraiejärgse metsakultuuriga oluliselt aeglasem, selgub Eesti Maaülikooli teadlaste uuringust.”



Lithuania catching up with Europe
(LRT)
“Lithuania's GDP per capita has reached 81 percent of the EU average …”



Population continues to fall in Latvia
(Latvian Broadcasting)
“18,589 births were registered in 2019 - 725 births fewer than in 2018.”



Lithuanian-Ukrainian relationship: most important to know the Ukrainians‘ plan
(Lithuania Tribune)
“Political scientist Laurynas Jonavičius says that Lithuanian-Ukrainian relations are based on how Lithuania wants a Western-oriented Ukraine in its neighbourhood and is intensively working on this matter. Meanwhile, Ukraine’s interest is to have an ally and supporter within Western structures, who could help “push” Ukraine’s interests and encourage cooperation.”



Putini reformid - sammuke diktatuuri ja sõjaohu poole
(Postimees)
“Mingisugust üleminekut ei ole ega tule. Putin ei kavatsegi anda võimu kellegi teise kätte, mingit järglast ta ei määra. Putini järglane on Putin ise. Ning Venemaa kõrgeim võimuesindaja ei kanna enam nimetust «president», vaid «Vladimir Putin», kirjutab kolumnist Andrei Kuzitškin.” 





Putin’s stock market soars
(Axios)
“Despite tough U.S. sanctions, Russia's economy is picking up steam, and its financial markets are delivering massive rewards to investors.”
—
"It's important not to confuse financial markets with economic well-being," George Friedman, founder and chairman of Geopolitical Futures, tells Axios. "Outside Moscow and St. Petersburg conditions are bleak. This is why I don’t hold financial markets as predictive. In Russia, markets are up and towns outside the major cities are getting hurt."



Russia’s new cabinet members
(Meduza - Parts 1 and 2)
“On January 21, Russian President Vladimir Putin approved a new executive cabinet proposed by Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin. The appointments were part of a major shakeup in the country’s government that will help determine Putin’s future and the future of Russia’s constitutional system. In this two-part series, Meduza profiles each of the country’s new cabinet members in brief.”
and:




Mikhail Mishustin: The New Russian Prime Minister’s Agenda
(Carnegie Moscow)
“Russians can expect a shift in emphasis from taxation to the allocation of funds as (Mikhail) Mishustin draws on his management skills to make government spending as orderly and transparent as taxation became under his leadership.”







Russia Prepares for Tandemocracy
(Carnegie Moscow)
“President Vladimir Putin’s state of the nation address on January 15 made it quite clear that he will step down from the presidency in 2024—or earlier—as the Russian constitution requires, but only after he has put in place a system enabling him to influence his successor. This means a return to a tandemocracy like that seen in 2008–2012, when Putin stood down and served as prime minister under Dmitry Medvedev to adhere to the constitutional ban on more than two consecutive presidential terms. The major constitutional reforms put forward by Putin involve all branches of power and their system of interaction.”




















__________

Tuesday 
21. January
__________


Moscow’s Holocaust revisionism
(Politico-Europe)
“As the world commemorates 75 years since the liberation of Auschwitz, Russia is trying to rewrite history. Far from being a “liberator,” the Soviet Union was a facilitator of Nazi Germany and a perpetrator of crimes of its own — before and after the liberation of Auschwitz. Given that the European Union was born from the ashes of World War II, we must guard against false narratives like those being peddled today.”



Russia and Poland’s war of words over the second world war
(The Spectator)
“Russia’s president Vladimir Putin has suggested Poland is partly to blame for the war’s outbreak. Poland’s president Andrzej Duda has hit back, accusing Putin of an ‘historical lie’. ‘The words of Vladimir Putin are a complete distortion of historical truth.”
—
“For many Poles, today’s row with Russia is only the latest continuation of Putin’s nonsense and fake news.”




______________
________
__





17 January, 2020


  • “You wanted a bloodless revolution?” tweeted one of Putin’s favored messengers, Margarita Simonyan, who leads Russia’s RT television network. “Here you go.” 

  • “Putin is advancing the idea of keeping his authority as a more powerful and influential prime minister while the presidency will become more decorative.” - Political analyst Dmitry Oreshkin

  • “The only goal of Putin and his regime is to stay in charge for life, having the entire country as his personal asset and seizing its riches for himself and his friends.” - Alexei Navalny, Russian opposition leader

  • “Putin's reshuffle shows he wants to become Russia's supreme leader.”  -  Garry Kasparov



Putinist võib saada midagi ajatollade või Deng Xiaopingi sarnast
Kadri Liik - ERR
“Venemaa president Vladimir Putin on selgelt asunud otsima võimalusi presidendiametist lahkumiseks ning tema uus roll võib olla midagi sellist nagu oli Hiina kunagisel liidril Deng Xiaopingil või on Iraani islamirevolutsiooni järel ajatolladel. …”



Who Is Russia’s New Prime Minister?
(Foreign Policy)
“When Russians woke up on Wednesday morning, most had likely never heard of Mikhail Mishustin, the head of the country’s tax service. But by the time they went to bed that night, Mishustin had been named as Russia’s new prime minister after a day that included a flurry of proposed changes to the constitution and a series of dramatic shake-ups that saw the government resign en masse. It was the first real inkling of the power transfer to come, with President Vladimir Putin set to reach his constitutionally imposed term limit in 2024.”
—
“By selecting Mishustin, Putin is looking to learn from his past mistakes during his return to the presidency in 2012 and offer Russians change, while still maintaining his grip on power.”



Putin asub pärast presidendiametit tegutsema julgeoleku teemadega
(ERR)
“Politoloog Karmo Tüüri hinnangul jääb Venemaa president Vladimir Putin pärast ametiaja lõppu tegutsema julgeolekupoliitika valdkonda.”



Putin Wants a Kazakh Retirement
(Foreign Policy - March 2019)
“Russia and Kazakhstan have plenty in common. Why not the transition plans for their longtime presidents?”



Putin’s Power Play: Shuffle the Cabinet But Keep Command
by Anna Nemtsova - Daily Beast
“During his annual state of the nation address to the Russian parliament on Wednesday, President Vladimir Putin said repeatedly that the Russian people expect changes, and the one announced less than three hours later—described on Kommersant FM radio as “Operation Successor”—seemed to throw a lot of cards up in the air. … The political elite is being careful with its comments since few know who will benefit from this major change.”



Putin’s Bloodless Revolution
(Time)
“I truly believe that it is time to introduce certain changes to our country’s main law,” Putin said. Shortly afterward the government resigned en masse, not in protest but seemingly to pave the way for these reforms.”
—
“The details of his plan were vague and in many ways confusing, though their significance was not lost on those close to the Kremlin.”



Did Putin Just Appoint Himself President for Life?
(Carnegie Moscow Center)
“Moving to a new position while retaining significant influence is more akin to the maneuver seen last year in Kazakhstan, where Nursultan Nazarbayev relinquished the presidency after nearly three decades to become head of the Security Council, having enhanced that body’s power shortly before that.”













__________

Friday 17. January
__________


Putin Restores the GULAG by Legalizing Slave Labor of Convicts
by Paul Goble
“Given all the changes Vladimir Putin is making in these days in the Russian constitutional order, ones that legalize the presidentialist dictatorship he has already created, many may have failed to notice that a law he signed restoring a key feature of the GULAG, the use of convicts as slave laborers, went into effect on January 1.”
—
“The law discussed, passed and signed by Putin last year calls for creating two kinds of labor camps: entire colonies where inmates will be put to work either for the state or for businesses on a contract basis and special “correction centers” attached to business sites …”



Lavrov kritiseeris Eesti tegevust seoses Sputnikuga
(ERR)
“Eesti võimude tegevuse kohta esitas Lavrovile küsimuse Eesti Sputniku juht Jelena Tšerõševa, kes süüdistas välisminister Urmas Reinsalu ja president Kersti Kaljulaidi ebadiplomaatilistes ja Venemaa-vastastes avaldustes.”



Estonian population growth continues in 2019 due to immigration
(BNN)
“Preliminary estimate of the population of Estonia as at 1 January 2020 was 1,328,360, which is 3,540 persons more than a year ago.”



President Putin kirjutab põhjalikku artiklit Teisest maailmasõjast
(ERR)
“President valmistab ette mahukat artiklit, see rajaneb eranditult tõsiasjadel — uutel andmetel, mil leiti Vene arhiividest," ütles Sergei Lavrov pressikonverentsil, mis oli pühendatud Venemaa mulluse diplomaatilise tegevuse tulemustele. Ta meenutas, et kaitseministeerium avalikustas äsja arhiividokumendid Varssavi vabastamisest, mis sinnamaani olid salastatud. "Oleks tähtis teada saada, mida arvab Poola, kui nendega tutvub.”



Putin’s Sudden Interest in the 1939 Molotov-Ribbentrop pact
(Deutsche Welle - 11. Dec. 2019)
“The Russian president … dismissed as "unfounded" an EU resolution stating that the 1939 Molotov-Ribbentrop pact had laid the groundwork for World War II. "They are very nearly blaming the Soviet Union, alongside Nazi Germany, for causing the Second World War," Putin said. "As if they have forgotten who attacked Poland on September 1, 1939, and the Soviet Union on June 22, 1941.”
—
“The governments of Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland and Romania had released a statement in August saying the pact ‘doomed half of Europe to decades of misery’. “We will continue to talk about the events, the facts of the Great Patriotic War, to unveil and publicize archive materials in their entirety," Putin said.”



Lithuania and Poland are against Russia's attempts 'to rewrite history'
(Delfi)
“… Putin has said on several occasions recently that Poland is responsible for the outbreak of World War Two. "We'll certainly not allow history to be falsified so easily, and our strategic communicators are already cooperating and counteracting that lie, which is (...) another attempt to rewrite history, revive the image of Stalin as a positive figure (and) justify the Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact.”

Putin’s parallel world and the return of Stalin
(Lithuanian Tribune)
“The thing that surprised many analysts the most – even in Russia itself –was Vladimir Putin’s sudden interest in history. And it was not just history in general. Rather, it was the Molotov–Ribbentrop Pact and the outbreak of World War II in particular.”




__________

Thursday 16. January
__________


Sisepoliitika varjutab Eesti diplomaatia edu
Kristi Raik - Postimees
“Värske uuringu tulemused riikide mõjukusest ELis annaks ehk liiga igavalt ilusa pildi Eesti diplomaatiast ELis, kui sellele ei lisanduks sisepoliitika äikesepilved ja kärgatused, kirjutab ​RKK Eesti Välispoliitika Instituudi direktor Kristi Raik.”





Reporters Without Borders 'extremely concerned' for future of independent journalism in Estonia
(ERR)
“… after an exodus of nearly all investigative reporters and editorial writers from leading daily Postimees in recent weeks.”
—
“RSF expressed concern that the exodus from Postimees could mark the end of investigative journalism in a country that had until now been seen as a model of press freedom, adding that the possible disappearance of the independent paper could prove disastrous for a country the size of Estonia, "one in which the media are already very polarized between the state-funded public radio and TV broadcaster and a major private-sector media company, Ekspress Grupp."



Brexit: British flag to come down from the Parliament in Brussels
(Politico-Europe)
“According to the minutes of a meeting of the European Parliament's top brass on Thursday, the Union Flag will come down at the Parliament building in Brussels on January 31 — Brexit Day — with the flag to be kept in the House of European History. … a "farewell ceremony" will be held on January 29 for the Brits.”



Interview: Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky
(Time)
“I Don’t Trust Anyone at All.”
—
“Zelensky Speaks Out on Trump, Putin and a Divided Europe. … Ukraine still needs the support of the United States. Otherwise his country does not stand much of a chance in its effort to get back the territory Russia seized from Ukraine in 2014, starting with the Crimean Peninsula. Nor can Ukraine rely on steady financial support from abroad if President Donald Trump and his allies continue to signal to the world that Ukraine is corrupt, Zelensky said. “When America says, for instance, that Ukraine is a corrupt country, that is the hardest of signals.”



All Signs of Formation of Totalitarian State Now Present in Russia
(Window on Eurasia)
[The opinions of outspoken actress Yuliya Aug, who was born in Leningrad and grew up in Estonia.]
— 
“It is wrong to say that the Russians and the Estonians are in a dispute with one another: their relations are different, those of “an aggressor and his victims.  This must not be called a dispute. And therefore, I understand very well Estonians who do not like Russians.  But, by the way, another generation has grown up there.”
—
            “Unlike their parents, the actress concludes, they neither like nor dislike Russians. Instead, they focus on Europe. “Historically, they know about the relations of Estonia and Russia, but they already do not have such a trauma in the literal sense of the word.” 




Finland experiencing mildest winter in 100 years
(Yle)
“Turku daily Turun Sanomat reported on Thursday (in Finnish) that the mild conditions may result in the lakes of southern and western Finland - as far north as Ostrobothnia - not freezing over this winter for the first time in recorded history.”



Kas Eesti 80aastane külmarekord jääbki püsima?
“Homme täitub 80 aastat Eesti külmarekordist. Praegusel plusskraadidega mööduval talvel tundub eriti uskumatu, et akna taga võiks paukuda 40kraadine pakane.”




__________

Tuesday 14. January
__________




Finland and Estonia – a timeless friendship? EKRE making trouble
(Euractiv)
“(EKRE ’s) voice, the newspaper Uued Uudised, published an article just before Marin’s visit targeting the Finnish President, Sauli Niinistö. The paper urged the president to wake up to the dangers of foreign influences and to the leniency of the current Finnish green and red government with immigration.”
—
“Finland was painted as a divided nation suffering from insecurity and tensions. Many EKRE supporters believe that the Finnish government has purchased apartments in Tallinn and is planning to inhabit them with refugees. In a column published in another paper close to EKRE, Objektiiv, Finland is portrayed as a country derailed and threatened by the European Union and its climate hysteria and liberal sexual legislation.”
—
“Mart Ummelas, an EKRE activist and journalist did not hold back his views in a Uued Uudised column. According to him, the Finnish-Estonian relationship has deteriorated in recent years. “The Finnish government of Sanna Marin represents everything we don’t want in Estonia.”



Estonia and the US to build joint cyber threat intelligence platform
(ERR)
“The platform will be used to automate the exchange of data for cyber threats. The system will be developed by Cybernetica and procured by the Estonian Centre for Defence Investment.”



Belarus Scrambles For Oil Amid Supply Standoff With Russia
(RFERL)
"All commercial departments of our plants, of the Belarusian Oil Company, have been holding talks practically on a daily basis. I think we will get alternative sources for oil supplies soon. It is about all possibilities -- Ukraine, Poland, the Baltic states, Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan, wherever. We are working on it now," Deputy Prime Minister Dzmitry Krutoy said on January 14.”



Putin Faces Difficulties and Possible Defeats ‘in Practically All Directions’ Domestic and Foreign
(Window on Eurasia)
“As for Ukraine, Putin did not get the concessions from Vladimir Zelensky he expected at the Normandy format meeting in Paris. The Ukrainian president took a hard line and the Kremlin leader has no reason to expect that he is about to change it. Moreover, Moscow had to pay Ukraine an enormous sum to keep gas flowing across Ukraine to Europe.”
—
            “With regard to Belarus, much has been promised but little delivered. Instead, Alyaksandr Lukashenka has played Putin in such a way that the Kremlin leader is unlikely to get the breakthrough he hopes for in the coming months. Instead, while there may be some cosmetic changes, the union state isn’t going to take the form Putin has promised.”



How one Russian city makes it through the polar night
(PRI)
“Murmansk is the largest city in the Arctic Circle. Nowhere else in the world do so many people spend so long in near-perpetual darkness. On Sunday, residents came out to catch the first glimpse of the sun in 40 days.”



EU lays out 1 trillion-euro plan to support Green Deal
(AP | Euronews)
“The Europe Investment Plan unveiled Tuesday will be funded by the EU budget and the private sector. It aims to deliver on European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen’s Green Deal to make the bloc the world’s first carbon-neutral continent by 2050.”
—
“The bloc’s executive arm says that half of the investment will come from the EU budget. National governments will contribute 100 billion euros and 300 billion euros will come from the private sector. …”
—









Can Nuclear Power Offer a Way Out of the Climate Crisis?
(Spiegel)
“Billionaires and leading researchers in the United States are developing next-generation nuclear reactors that are small, reputedly safe and suitable to modern power grids. … The core of the reactor will be almost entirely filled with nuclear waste, which is a great way of disposing of it. Furthermore, the reactor should be able to operate for 60 years without refueling. Indeed, the spent fuel rods from nuclear power plants in the United States alone would be sufficient to cover the entire world's energy needs for centuries to come.”


Twitter satire account

______________
________
__