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18 September, 2020



Only 11 % of people in Russia consider Estonia to be hostile against that country, a 15 year low according to polling (60 % consider the US as a hostile state)

https://news.err.ee/1136798/survey-number-of-russian-citizens-seeing-estonia-as-hostile-at-15-year-low



Photo:

https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Sügise_märgid.jpg




Eesti Koroonakaart

https://www.koroonakaart.ee/et




Belarus news is toward 

the end of the newsletter





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Friday 

18. September

__________ 



Coronavirus: Laupäevast ei saa enam Rootsi ega Norrasse lennata

(ERR | Postimees)

“Riik keelab alates laupäevast taas otselennud Rootsist ja Norrast, kus nakatumiste arv 100,000 elaniku kohta on uuesti üle 25 tõusnud.”

https://www.err.ee/1136946/laupaevast-ei-saa-enam-rootsi-ega-norrasse-lennata

https://majandus24.postimees.ee/7065888/riik-keelab-taas-otselennud-rootsist-ja-norrast?_ga=2.55357229.706986314.1600451880-1204392742.1599058480


“Esmaspäevast kehtib liikumispiirang 30 Euroopa riigist saabujatele.” - ERR


“There are now more than 300,000 COVID cases a week in Europe.” - Politico-Europe


“Second-quarter travel to Finland plummets by 87%.” - Yle


“Norway Advises Its Citizens Against Non-Essential Travel to Estonia.” - Schengenvisainfo




Kaja Kallas: oleme valmis toetama Kaljulaidi jätkamist presidendina

(ERR)

“Järgmised presidendivalimised toimuvad 2021. aastal ajavahemikul 10. august kuni 29. september. Kui riigikogu presidenti valida ei suuda - selleks on vaja vähemalt 68 poolthäält -, läheb valik valijameestekogusse, kus on enamvähem võrdselt esindatud riigikogu ja omavalitsustest tulevad inimesed.”

https://www.err.ee/1136892/kaja-kallas-oleme-valmis-toetama-kaljulaidi-jatkamist-presidendina




USA maastikupõlengute suits võib lähipäevil Eesti õhukvaliteeti halvendada

(Postimees)

“USA läänerannikul möllavate suurte tulekahjude suits liigub üle Atlandi ookeani Põhja-Euroopa suunas ning võib lähipäevil jõuda ka Eestisse.”

https://www.postimees.ee/7065635/keskkonnaagentuur-hoiatab-usa-maastikupolengute-suits-voib-lahipaevil-eesti-ohukvaliteeti-halvendada




Läänemaal avatakse mälestusmärk 1944. aasta paadipõgenikele

(ERR)

“1944. aasta sügisel läksid Läänemaalt Puise rannast lähenevate punavägede eest Rootsi poole teele kümned tuhanded inimesed. Paljud neist ei jõudnud kohale.

"Hinnanguliselt on jäänud merre 5000 inimest selle minemise käigus,” ütles Eesti Memento Liidu juht Arnold Aljaste …”

https://www.err.ee/1136995/laanemaal-avatakse-malestusmark-1944-aasta-paadipogenikele




“The Last Million: Europe’s Displaced Persons from World War to Cold War"

A new book by David Nasaw 

Penguin Publishing | 15. September 2020


Reading this right now and offer 

this excerpt from page 134:

“While every group of displaced persons worried about being forcibly ejected from the camps and returned to their former homelands, those who had fled Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, and western Ukraine had the most to fear. The Soviets, having annexed their homelands, regarded them as Soviet citizens, and as such, subject to immediate repatriation, as agreed to at Yalta. The Americans and British, having never recognized the annexations, rejected the Soviet claims. American military commanders, knowing that Baltic exiles would be forcibly repatriated if left behind in the Soviet zone, sought permission to move them into the American zones of occupation. On May 21, 1945, SHAEF issued a directive, signed by General Eisenhower, that Estonians, Latvians, and Lithuanians “should not be treated as Soviet citizens nor repatriated to the Soviet Union unless they affirmatively claim Soviet citizenship.” Because such actions were bound to anger the Soviets, military personnel in the field were directed not to give “this information [about American policy decisions] to Soviet representatives. If any questions be raised by Soviet representatives concerning this interpretation of the CRIMEAN [Yalta] agreement, it should be suggested that they raise the questions on a governmental level. …”

https://www.amazon.com/Last-Million-Europes-Displaced-Persons-ebook/dp/B085N3NVWP/ref=tmm_kin_swatch_0?_encoding=UTF8&qid=1600299657&sr=8-1




Survey: Number of Russian citizens seeing Estonia as hostile at 15-year low

(ERR)

“(Only) 11 percent of people in Russia consider Estonia to be hostile against that country, the lowest figure for the past 15 years.”

https://news.err.ee/1136798/survey-number-of-russian-citizens-seeing-estonia-as-hostile-at-15-year-low


“Eestit vaenlaseks pidavate venemaalaste hulk langes viimase 15 aasta madalaimale tasemele.” - ERR




The international role of Lithuania towards the crisis in Belarus

By Aleksandra Kuczyńska-Zonik, Institute of Central Europe

“Due to the absence of an adequate response from the EU, on August 18, the Lithuanian Seimas adopted a resolution refusing to recognize Alexander Lukashenko as the legitimate leader of the Republic of Belarus and called on the European Commission and the member states of the EU and NATO, not to recognize the result of the presidential elections in Belarus and to impose sanctions on its officials. There was a cross-party consensus to solve the issue. …”

https://ies.lublin.pl/en/komentarze-commentaries/the-international-role-of-lithuania-towards-the-crisis-in-belarus-aleksandra-kuczynska-zonik-247-150-2020?fbclid=IwAR1fYnZQgiAKgsxz5fa7XmkJ5xzhu3vfv-emjTKOuMSxtBmg35Wkj4dsJho


“Leedu kaitseminister: Leedu ei reageeri Valgevene provokatsioonidele.” - Postimees




U.S. and Estonia sign agreement for collaborative research in cyber defense

(Army Recognition)

"This historic agreement provides the opportunity for two nations with substantial defensive cyber capabilities to leverage their respective cyber experience to drive new research and development to reduce cyber threats across the spectrum of conflict,” said Director of the C5ISR Center Patrick J. O’Neill.”

https://www.armyrecognition.com/defense_news_september_2020_global_security_army_industry/u.s._and_estonia_sign_historic_agreement_for_collaborative_research_in_cyber_defense.html


“Estonia ambassador on creating a security culture post cyberwar.” - SC 




The Baltics States’ Ban on Belarusian Nuclear Electricity Imports: Implications for All Sides

(Jamestown Org.)

“… a press release from the Estonian Ministry of Economic Affairs and Communications announced that Estonia along with Lithuania and Latvia had reached a mutual agreement the day prior stipulating that electricity trade with Belarus will end once the NPP goes online. The statement further notes that a new system of origin verification will be enacted to ensure that Baltic electricity imports do not derive from Belarus.”

https://jamestown.org/program/the-baltics-states-ban-on-belarusian-nuclear-electricity-imports-implications-for-all-sides/





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Thursday 

17. September

__________ 



Kaljulaid: kui anname raha eilse päeva kinnihoidmiseks, läheb meil halvasti

(ERR)

“Regionaalsete probleemidega pikaajaline ignoreerimine Eestis on pannud poliitikud pakkuma lootuse kaotanud inimestele lihtsaid lahendusi, mille hind on aga arengu seiskumine ja eilse päeva ihalus …”

https://www.err.ee/1136594/kaljulaid-kui-anname-raha-eilse-paeva-kinnihoidmiseks-laheb-meil-halvasti




Analüütik: von der Leyeni avaldus Venemaa kohta oli üllatavalt jõuline

(ERR)

"Nendele, kes kaitsevad tihedamate sidemete edendamist Venemaaga, ütlen ma, et Aleksei Navalnõi mürgitamine keerulise keemilise ainega ei ole ühekordne sündmus. Me oleme näinud sama mustrit Gruusias ja Ukrainas, Süürias ja Salisburys ning valimistesse sekkumist üle maailma. See muster ei muutu ning ükski torujuhe seda ei muuda," teatas Euroopa Komisjoni president oma kõnes viidates Venemaalt Saksamaale kulgeva gaasitoru Nord Stream 2 ehitamisele, mille saatus ja mõju on viimasel ajal taas suurema avalikkuse tähelepanu all.”

https://www.err.ee/1135711/analuutik-von-der-leyeni-avaldus-venemaa-kohta-oli-ullatavalt-jouline




Eesti rahvastikuplahvatus jäi ära maanappuse tõttu

(Novaator)

"Teisisõnu on Eesti demograafilise ülemineku tüüp üks põhjus, miks Eesti rahvaarv on napilt üle miljoni."

https://novaator.err.ee/1134128/eesti-rahvastikuplahvatus-jai-ara-maanappuse-tottu


“Fertility Modernisation in Estonia: Analysis of Individual-Level Data for Women Born 1850-1899.” - by Mark Gortfelder, Tallinn University




The World Still Needs a United West

(Foreign Affairs)

“How Europe and the United States Can Renew Their Alliance.”

https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/united-states/2020-09-17/world-still-needs-united-west




Lukašenko otsustas tuumajaama käivitada Oktoobrirevolutsiooni aastapäeval, 7. novembril

(ERR)

“Tuumakütus toodi jaama 6. mail ning 7. augustil alustati esimese energiaploki täitmist tuumakütusega.”

https://www.err.ee/1135781/lukasenko-otsustas-tuumajaama-kaivitada-oktoobrirevolutsiooni-aastapaeval




Estonia ready to accept IT firms from Belarus, but not refugees

(ERR)

“Estonia is in no hurry to open the border for refugees from Belarus but is ready to accept Belarusian IT companies, Minister of Foreign Affairs Urmas Reinsalu (Isamaa) has said. Both Latvia and Lithuania have said they are ready to do both.”

https://news.err.ee/1136031/reinsalu-estonia-ready-to-accept-it-firms-from-belarus-but-not-refugees





_________


Wednesday 

16. September

__________ 



Juhtkiri: kui ihkad sõda, valmistu rahuks

(Postimees)

“Rahvas, kes võtab oma vabadust tõsiselt, esiteks toidab oma kaitseväelasi ja teiseks hoiab liitlassuhteid kui kõige kallimat vara. Kaitsekulude eest seismine on kogu rahva kokkulepe ja seda kindlust tuleb hoida. Sõjalise riigikaitse kuludega tuleb edasi minna nii, nagu Eesti riigis on kokku lepitud. See tähendab, kasvatades neid järgnevatel aastatel eurodes arvestatuna sedasi, nagu on kirjas eelmisel aastal kinnituse saanud riigieelarve strateegias. …”

https://leht.postimees.ee/7063313/juhtkiri-kui-ihkad-soda-valmistu-rahuks?_ga=2.231623327.1406668763.1600265468-1204392742.1599058480


“Opinion: E.U. leaders are still learning to navigate a world ever more dangerous for them.” - New York Times


“DefMin launches website introducing Estonia's national defense development.” - Baltic Times


“Eesti Riigikaitseline Areng.” - Kaitseministeerium


“Estonian National Defence Development.” - Kaitseministeerium




UH-60 Black Hawk helicopters at Amari

(ERR)

“The helicopters belong to the 101st Combat Aviation Brigade of the United States Army and are based in Lielvarde, Latvia. The helicopters will return to Latvia on 18. Sept.”

https://news.err.ee/1134711/us-helicopters-to-practice-in-estonian-air-space


“14. ja 15. septembril toimunud harjutus algas kopterite UH-60 Black Hawk tutvustuse ja ohutustehnikaga …” - Kaitseväe




“UH-60A/L Black Hawk Helicopter specs.” - Military.com





Tallinna koolidest ja lasteaedadest on isolatsioonis üle 200 inimese

(ERR)

“Tallinnas on COVID-19 haigusjuhtumid tuvastatud neljas koolis ja kolmes lasteaias ning isolatsioonis on nende juhtumite tõttu üle 200 inimese, ütles terviseameti põhja regiooni juht Ester Öpik.”

https://www.err.ee/1135702/tallinna-koolidest-ja-lasteaedadest-on-isolatsioonis-ule-200-inimese


“More than 200 teachers, students isolating in Tallinn.” - ERR


“The number of infections brought in from abroad is on the rise.” - ERR


"175,110 tests have been taken in Estonia so far in 2020 and 2,722 of them, or 1.55%, have proved positive." - Baltic Course


“In Tallinn, 215 teachers and students sent to self-quarantine.” - BNN


“WHO warns of 'very serious situation' in Europe.” - CNN




Estonia Amends Rules of Entry & Stay for International Workers and Students

(SchengenVisaInfo)

“… who study or work in the country, the country’s government has announced.”

https://www.schengenvisainfo.com/news/estonia-amends-rules-of-entry-stay-for-international-workers-and-students/




Sillamäe saab riigilt pea 74,000 eurot skelettide väljakaevamise hüvitist

(ERR)

“Suve alguses avastati Sillamäel Kesk tänava rekonstrueerimistööde käigus 17.-18. sajandist pärit kalmistu, millest kaevati välja 118 inimese säilmed.”

https://www.err.ee/1135596/sillamae-saab-riigilt-pea-74-000-eurot-skelettide-valjakaevamise-huvitist




From 2017: A feeling of dread descends on Baltics again

By Imbi Paju | Japan Times | Feb 28, 2017

“In the Baltics, we know well the feeling that our country is part of some great global game of money and manipulation. We haven’t forgotten the Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact and the other secret protocols by which Soviet leader Joseph Stalin and German leader Adolf Hitler in 1939 altered the fate of our countries almost overnight. How could we? Just a year later, the Soviet Union’s secret police began arresting and killing our parents and grandparents. …”

https://www.japantimes.co.jp/opinion/2017/02/28/commentary/world-commentary/feeling-dread-descends-baltics/












__________


Belarus

_________



Putin Sends Pskov Airborne Troops to Belarus Exercise

(ISW)

“Moscow has modified the prescheduled Slavic Brotherhood military exercises in Belarus to demonstrate its ability to deploy forces to Belarus on short notice. … The 76th Guards Air Assault Division is an experienced expeditionary force based in Pskov near the Estonian and Latvian borders. Elements of the division participated in Kremlin operations in both Chechen wars, Kosovo, Georgia, and the annexation of Crimea. This unit has additionally previously operated in Belarus; elements conducted exercises in Brest in April 2018.”

http://www.iswresearch.org/2020/09/belarus-warning-update-putin-sends.html


“The 76th Guards Airborne Division at Pskov.” - Global Security


“Can Moscow Manage a Power Transition in Belarus?” - Carnegie Moscow


“Russia’s Emergency Loan to Belarus Changes Little for Embattled Lukashenko.” - The Moscow Times


“Fewer than One Russian in Seven Favors Annexation of Belarus, Levada Center Poll Finds.” - Paul Goble


“Lithuania to 'remain calm' if Belarus sends forces to border.” - LRT


“Lithuania to block freight traffic if Belarus closes borders.” - LRT





Russian Force Deployment into Belarus is Likely Imminent

(ISW)

“Multiple indicators ISW had identified as presaging the stationing of Russian troops in Belarus have now tripped, including the presence of Russian troops during extended exercises and specific changes in Belarusian rhetoric.”

http://www.iswresearch.org/2020/09/belarus-warning-update-russian-force.html




Kremlin seeks to control anti-access/area denial weapon systems in Belarus

(ISW)

“The Kremlin likely seeks to integrate Belarus’ currently independent air defense systems into Russia’s own national air defense system, which would give Moscow control over their employment. Such integration would enhance Russian capabilities to contest NATO airspace and degrade NATO’s ability to defend the Baltics.”

http://www.iswresearch.org/2020/09/belarus-warning-update-lukashenko-and.html




Integration for the Sake of Salvation

Kalev Stoicescu, ICDS

“The domestic power base of dictator Alexander Lukashenko is now mostly limited to Belarus’ security structures. Although he is still popular with aged babushkas and dedushkas, who see no reason for or even fear change, Lukashenko can no longer count on blue-collar support from the ‘working collectives’ of the large state-owned factories, or from the younger generations of Belarusians protesting with the white-red-white flags he detests.”

“The generals and colonels of the Belarusian KGB, OMON and armed forces, however, continue to show surprising levels of loyalty to a dictator who has lost legitimacy in the eyes of the West. While they probably care little about Western attitudes, they are surely keeping a careful eye on Russia’s reactions …”

https://icds.ee/en/integration-for-the-sake-of-salvation/




The regime in Belarus is trying to steal our victory. It won’t succeed.

By Svetlana Tikhanovskaya, Washington Post

“Tikhanovskaya is the leader of the opposition in Belarus, currently exiled in Lithuania.”

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/09/14/regime-belarus-is-trying-steal-our-victory-it-wont-succeed/


“Valgevene püüdis suukorvistada ÜRO istungil rääkinud Tsihhanovskajat.” - Postimees


“Many in Three Million-Strong Belarusian Diaspora Said Ready to Help Their Country After Lukashenka Goes.” - Paul Goble


“A Belarusian in Latvia: A Letter to the Front Line.” - Latvian Broadcasting




Lukashenka Holds His Own With Putin in Sochi

(Jamestown Org.)

“Russian President Vladimir Putin held a lengthy tête-à-tête with his Belarusian counterpart, Alyaksandr Lukashenka, on September 14, in Sochi—their first meeting since the outbreak of mass protests in Belarus against the flawed August 9 presidential election.”

https://jamestown.org/program/lukashenka-holds-his-own-with-putin-in-sochi-part-one/



Lukashenka Holds His Own With Putin in Sochi - Part 2:

“Opposition leader Sviatlana Tsikhanouska (Svetlana Tikhanovska), currently in Lithuania, reacted: “I want to remind Vladimir Putin: whatever the two of you agree in the Sochi meeting will not be legally valid. All agreements signed with the illegitimate Lukashenka will be reconsidered by the new authorities. I very much regret that you decided to conduct a dialogue with the dictator, instead of the Belarusian people” (Interfax, September 14).

https://jamestown.org/program/lukashenka-holds-his-own-with-putin-in-sochi-part-two/


“Russia loaned Belarus president Alexander Lukashenko $1.5 billion, as he warned protesters not to cross his red lines.” - EU Observer




Belarusians have created a new sense of self-identity

(New Eastern Euyrope)

“Interview with Anaïs Marin, the UN Special Rapporteur on the situation of human rights in Belarus.”

https://neweasterneurope.eu/2020/09/14/belarusians-have-created-a-new-sense-of-self-identity/?fbclid=IwAR2ATSu592N6uNE9UCN4E6iTKMcjoSO_g77fNVs0nnF5Qs5hrlRR6JbSas0




The Language of the Belarusian Revolution is Russian

(Window on Eurasia)

“Belarusians insist the name of their country is Belarus and not Belorussia, the term Russians use. They are “Belaruses” not “Belorusy.” And with increasing frequency, they put the Russian preference in brackets when they use their own. But as of now, “Russian has become the main (or dominant) language of the Belarusian revolution.” It is possible that the next generation of leaders there will speak only in Belarusian, especially if Russia intervenes in ways that offend the Belarusian people as Moscow has done in Ukraine. …”

http://windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2020/09/the-language-of-belarusian-revolution.html




Reports of Systematic Beatings and Torture of Protesters

(HRW)

“Belarusian security forces arbitrarily detained thousands of people and systematically subjected hundreds to torture and other ill- treatment … The victims described beatings, prolonged stress positions, electric shocks, and in at least one case, rape, and said they saw other detainees suffer the same or worse abuse. They had serious injuries, including broken bones, cracked teeth, skin wounds, electrical burns, and mild traumatic brain injuries.”

“The sweeping brutality of the crackdown shows the lengths to which the Belarusian authorities will go to silence people, but tens of thousands of peaceful protesters continue to demand fair elections and justice for abuses.”

https://www.hrw.org/news/2020/09/15/belarus-systematic-beatings-torture-protesters


“'I was preparing myself to be executed': Belarus protesters recall police detention in Minsk.” - CBC




Opposition Figure Maryya Kalesnikava Charged With Threatening Belarus's National Security

(RFERL)

“The Belarusian Investigative Committee said on September 16 that Kalesnikava is suspected of committing the alleged crime via the usage of media and the Internet.

The 38-year-old Kalesnikava has become a prominent leader of protests demanding the resignation of President Alyaksandr Lukashenka following an August 9 presidential election that the opposition says was rigged.”

https://www.rferl.org/a/arrested-opposition-figure-kalesnikava-charged-with-threatening-belarus-s-national-security/30842283.html


“Maria Kolesnikova could face up to five years in prison.” - The Guardian


“Russia accuses U.S. of promoting revolution in Belarus.” - Reuters


“Lukashenka Accuses West Of Trying To 'Destroy' Belarus With Another 'Color Revolution’.” - RFERL


“Russia's foreign intelligence chief accused the US of protecting Belarus opposition leader Svetlana Tikhanovskaya.” - Moscow Times




Vene kaitseminister saabus Valgevenesse

(ERR)

“Venemaa kaitseminister Sergei Šoigu saabus kolmapäeval koos ministeeriumi delegatsiooniga Valgevene pealinna Minskisse, et arutada kahe riigi sõjalise koostöö tihendamist.”

"Külaskäigu eesmärk on kahepoolse kaitsekoostöö arutamine Valgevene ja Venemaa vahel," teatas Vene kaitseministeerium.”

https://www.err.ee/1135700/vene-kaitseminister-saabus-valgevenesse


“Reinsalu: me ei eeldagi, et Lukašenko tahaks Eestisse tulla.” - ERR




Lukashenko hunts for Belarus opposition leaders

(Politico-Europe)

“Svetlana Alexievich is something very rare in Belarus. It's not just that she's a winner of the Nobel Prize for Literature, but she's also one of the few opposition leaders not under arrest or in exile. … Alexievich is the last of seven senior members of the Coordination Council, an opposition body set up to ensure a peaceful transfer of power from Alexander Lukashenko, who is still at (sort of) liberty. She's kept her freedom thanks to the intermittent presence of foreign diplomats in her Minsk apartment, making her arrest a potential PR disaster for Lukashenko's embattled government. But that's not the case for most other senior figures in the pro-democracy movement …”

https://www.politico.eu/article/alexander-lukashenko-belarus-opposition-leaders-hunt/


“Belarus: Nobel Laureate Alexievich visited by diplomats amid ‘harassment’.” - BBC




__________

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____






11 September, 2020

 


Putin’s Equation of Forest Brothers with Nazis Outrages Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania

By Paul Goble, Window on Eurasia

“A week ago, Vladimir Putin signed an order calling for a one-time payment to Russian citizens living in Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania of 75,000 rubles (one thousand US dollars) who fought against the Forest Brothers, as the Baltic resistance to the Soviet occupation was called, after 1945 (kremlin.ru/acts/news/63990)."

            “By equating Soviet troops who fought Nazis with those who fought Baltic Forest Brothers, Putin has equated members of the Forest Brothers with the Nazis. Not surprisingly, this has outraged the Estonian, Latvian and Lithuanian governments as well as many ordinary citizens in those countries and their friends elsewhere.”

http://windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2020/09/putins-equation-of-forest-brothers-with.html




Indifference Is A Green Light For Hatred And Violence

by Sofi Oksanen, UpNorth

“My reason for bringing up the past in this speech has not been to point a finger at the blindness of western nations relative to Russia, but rather to remind us that developments in Russia are not changing direction. Their actions are intentional, long-term, and based on a tradition of expertise. After the Second World War, the Russians left Norway, as did the Germans. But now, today, Russia is not giving up its aggressive activities within the borders of our countries. The information warriors who serve Russia are not leaving, and their activities have become global: As we speak, Russia is expanding its operations, particularly in Africa. Their aggression is not directly only at the West.”

“In addition to weakening the West, Russia seeks to build a post-truth world in which facts no longer have any meaning. …”

https://upnorth.eu/indifference-is-a-green-light-for-hatred-and-violence/



Valgesoo foto:

https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Hilissügis_Valgesoos.jpg




Belarus news list is toward 

the end of this post





__________


Friday 

11. September

__________ 



Kas mets on hakanud kaks korda kiiremini kasvama?

Ülle Harju, Postimees - paywall

“Jätkusuutmatult suurt metsaraiet ja selle varjamist kahtlustavad metsandusinimesed nõuavad riikliku keskkonnaagentuuri (KAUR) algandmete sõltumatut auditit.”

https://leht.postimees.ee/7059646/kas-mets-on-hakanud-kaks-korda-kiiremini-kasvama?_ga=2.156870907.1367228722.1599608017-1204392742.1599058480




A walk in Tallinn is a walk back in time

(Emerging Europe)

“Officially, the city can trace its origins back to 1219 when it received its city rights after a successful raid by the Danish King Valdemar, and has since been controlled at various times by Sweden, Denmark, Germany and Russia, before becoming a part of independent Estonia: first in 1918, and then again after the fall of the Soviet Union. It is a melting pot of culture and tradition. Unofficially, the city can trace its origins back ever earlier, to 5000 BC, making it one of the oldest settlements in all of Europe.”

https://emerging-europe.com/after-hours/a-walk-around-tallinn-is-a-walk-back-in-time/




Finland’s President Can Hold His Own With Both Putin and Trump

(Foreign Policy)

“Sauli Niinisto, now halfway through his second six-year term as Finnish president, tends to be discreet. A lawyer by training, Niinisto is the leader of the European Union’s northernmost member—which also happens to be the one that shares the longest border with Russia—and is the only Western leader who could be said to have good relations with both Russian President Vladimir Putin and U.S. President Donald Trump. “He knows which fights to pick and which to avoid.”

“Niinisto also knows how—and when—to make a point, as he did last October when he held a joint press conference with Trump, on the eve of the latter’s impeachment. “You have a great democracy,” he said, locking his eyes with Trump, as the latter listened intently (or seemed to). “Keep it going on.”

https://foreignpolicy.com/2020/09/10/finlands-president-niinisto-can-hold-his-own-putin-trump/




Putin’s support is weakening. Will that show up in Russia’s regional elections this weekend?

(Washington Post)

“On Sunday, Russia will hold regional elections. Voters will cast ballots in some 9,000 races in 83 regions, with everything from elections to fill national legislature vacancies to elections for regional governors and municipal councils.”

“Discontent with current living conditions and demands for accountability are now stronger than at any time since the annexation of Crimea in 2014. Putin and his party run the risk of no longer coming out on top.”

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2020/09/10/putins-support-is-weakening-will-that-show-up-russias-regional-elections-this-weekend/


“A Quick Guide to Russia’s Elections on Sept. 13.” - Riddle


“Russia’s Regional Elections, Explained.” - Moscow Times





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Thursday 

10. September

__________ 



Marko Mihkelson: kaitsekulusid tuleb pigem kasvatada

(Postimees)

“Martin Helme plaan vähendada riigikaitse kulutusi 50 miljoni euro võrra on väga halb mõte, mis kahjustab üha keerulisemaks muutuvas julgeolekukeskkonnas Eesti kaitsevõimet,» ütles Marko Mihkelson sotsiaalmeedias. «Juba riigikaitsekulutuste vähendamise mõte ise on ohtlik signaal, millest võivad valesti aru saada nii meie liitlased kui need, kes võiksid potentsiaalselt ohustada meie julgeolekut.”

https://poliitika.postimees.ee/7059556/mihkelson-kaitsekulusid-tuleb-pigem-kasvatada?_ga=2.64466927.1367228722.1599608017-1204392742.1599058480




Estonia’s Security Options Eroded by Far-Right Governing Party EKRE

By Eoin Micheál McNamara, FPRI

“Estonia’s relations with neighboring Finland have been unsettled by late July’s announcement that the country’s ambassador in Helsinki, Harri Tiido, resigned. Tiido cited difficulties in maintaining strong cooperation between Estonia and Finland due to a string of controversial statements attributed to outgoing chairman of the far-right populist Conservative People’s Party of Estonia (EKRE), Mart Helme.”

“The diplomatic consequences of Helme’s comments continue to linger, with Tiido arguing: “When diplomats have to ask for some support from Finland, it’s really difficult to go to the Finns after those kinds of statements.” The senior Estonian diplomat’s public criticism of his government has caused considerable domestic controversy, but Minister of Foreign Affairs Urmas Reinsalu has refuted Tiido’s claim, saying that relations between Tallinn and Helsinki remain strong at a ministerial level and that “inappropriate statements from last year have not harmed [Estonia’s relationship with Finland], though these [statements] could have been left unsaid.” Despite this, Tiido’s serious claim that EKRE “are reducing, or have already reduced, Estonia’s room for maneuver internationally” is a troubling assessment that requires deeper scrutiny. …”

https://www.fpri.org/article/2020/09/estonias-security-options-eroded-by-far-right-governing-party/




Kaliningrad: A Key Factor in the Kremlin’s Calculations on Belarus

By Paul Goble, Jamestown Org.

“… Russian, Western and Chinese analysts alike have argued that without Russian control of the Suwałki corridor, Moscow would lose Kaliningrad in the first 48 hours (Lenta, September 20, 2019). Even less optimistic Western experts have suggested that if NATO’s control of the Suwałki corridor can be safeguarded, Moscow would lose its Baltic exclave in two weeks (Lenta, October 27, 2019). For that reason—and regardless of whether it succeeds in deploying any additional military facilities to Belarus—the Russian government has to care about the direction of any post-Lukashenka Belarus.”

https://jamestown.org/program/kaliningrad-a-key-factor-in-the-kremlins-calculations-on-belarus/




Leedu teeb ettepaneku tõsta Balti mulli karantiinilävendit

(Postimees)

“Leedu teeb Lätile ja Eestile ettepaneku tõsta nõndanimetatud Balti mulli sees enesisolatsiooni lävend praeguselt 16-lt 25-le koroonaviiruse juhtumile 100 000 elaniku kohta, ütles tervishoiuminister Aurelijus Veryga neljapäeval.”

https://www.postimees.ee/7059514/leedu-teeb-ettepaneku-tosta-balti-mulli-karantiinilavendit


“Estonia raises quarantine limit to 25 per 100,000 for Finland and Baltics.” - ERR




Baltics submit methodology for ending electricity trading with Belarus

(ERR)

"For Estonia, it is important not only to end the buying of electricity from Belarus after the launch of Astravyets, but to establish a network fee for electricity entering the Baltic states. The goal is to gradually, leading up to the end of 2025, reduce unfair competition from Russia so that Estonian power producers could make new decisions on investing into generating capacity, without distortion of the EU electricity market stemming from Russia."

https://news.err.ee/1132882/baltics-submit-methodology-for-ending-electricity-trading-with-belarus




The EU’s state aid hypocrisy

(Spectator)

“Another crucial period has begun in the Brexit saga. Boris Johnson has ruled out extending the transition stage beyond 1 January, after which the UK will no longer automatically take over EU regulations or align with EU trade policy. So the key question surrounding Brexit will finally need to be answered: what are the conditions for the UK to retain a decent amount of market access to the EU.”

https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/the-eu-s-state-aid-hypocrisy







_________


Wednesday 

9. September

__________ 



Eesti mahemaaks saamise unistus ähvardab kokku kukkuda

(Postimees)

“Maheviljakasvatajad seisavad silmitsi tõsise katsumusega – kuidas jääda ellu tingimustes, kus mõne viljasordi hind on kahe aasta taguse ajaga võrreldes kukkunud kolm korda ning tulevikuprognoos on tume.”

https://leht.postimees.ee/7058400/eesti-mahemaaks-saamise-unistus-ahvardab-kokku-kukkuda?_ga=2.234931777.1367228722.1599608017-1204392742.1599058480


“Erakorraline pensionitõus peaks katma vähemalt inflatsiooni.” - ERR




Kaitseväelased harjutasid keskpolügoonil USA raketisüsteemist MLRS laskmist

(Postimees)

“Eesti kaitseväelased harjutasid laskeharjutuse «Rail Gunner Rush» raames koostöös liitlasvägedega kaitseväe keskpolügoonil laskmist USA mitmikraketiheitja süsteemilt MLRS, teatas kaitseväe peastaap.”

https://www.postimees.ee/7057125/kaitsevaelased-harjutasid-keskpolugoonil-usa-raketisusteemist-mlrs-laskmist


“Liitlaste lennukid harjutavad Eesti õhuruumis.” - Postimees


“Eesti kaitseväelased lasid esmakordselt ülimoodsast “Katjušast”.” - Delfi




Live-fire exercise near Estonia’s Russian border shows US commitment to Baltic security, officials say

(Stars and Stripes)

“The exercise, called Rail Gunner Rush, brought “top U.S. technological weapons systems to Estonia” … It was the first time the 41st Field Artillery Brigade has conducted a live-fire exercise outside of Germany since the brigade was reactivated at Grafenwoehr, Germany, in November 2018.”

https://www.stripes.com/news/live-fire-exercise-near-estonia-s-russian-border-shows-us-commitment-to-baltic-security-officials-say-1.644258


“1st Battalion, 6th Field Artillery Regiment (1-6FAR) of 41st Field Artillery Brigade (41 FAB) at Tapa, Estonia.” - Joint Forces


“NATO Secretary General spoke with Foreign Ministers of Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, and Poland.” - NATO press release


“Moscow to react to NATO drills in Lithuania, says Kremlin.” - LRT


“US, NATO Warships Exercise Off Russia’s Arctic Coast.” - Breaking Defense




Opinion: America's Alliance with NATO Needs to Change

(National Interest)

“The first step in this process should be for the United States to transition from being the frontline defense of NATO countries to a supporting role. European democracies in the 1950s were poor and destitute. No more. Germany, for example, has the world’s fourth-largest economy. It is more than financially capable of providing the bulk of its own security. U.S. troops, meanwhile, should be redeployed to home bases where they can focus on defending America’s borders and global interests.”

https://nationalinterest.org/blog/skeptics/americas-alliance-nato-needs-change-168626





__________


Tuesday 

8. September

__________ 



Setomaa ülemsootskaks valiti tagasi Rein Järvelill 

Ülle Harju, Postimees - 5. september

“Laupäeval peetud Seto kuningriigi päeval valiti Seto kuninga asemikuks maa peal ehk järgnevaks aastaks ülemsootskaks Rein Järvelill.”

https://www.postimees.ee/7055763/setomaa-ulemsootskaks-valiti-tagasi-rein-jarvelill


Intervjuu: "Valitud Setomaa vallavolikogu esimees Rein Järvelill." - Postimees




EL-i riikidel on raske ühtsetes liikumispiirangutes kokkuleppele jõuda

(Postimees | ERR)

“Kui nakatunute arv 100 000 elaniku kohta EL-i riigis jääb kahe nädala jooksul alla 50, ei tohiks Euroopa Komisjoni ettepaneku järgi selle elanikule liikumispiiranguid seada. Ühtse piirangu osas on liikmesriikidel aga keeruline kokkuleppele jõuda, kuna testimise tavad on riigiti erinevad.”

https://poliitika.postimees.ee/7057123/el-i-riikidel-on-raske-uhtsetes-liikumispiirangutes-kokkuleppele-jouda?_ga=2.99684830.1931662946.1599506661-1204392742.1599058480

https://www.err.ee/1132218/el-i-riikidel-on-keeruline-uhtsetes-reisipiirangutes-kokkuleppele-jouda




Estonia's coronavirus notification app 'HOIA' downloaded 100,000 times

(ERR)

“So far, 22 people have declared themselves ill through the app.”

https://news.err.ee/1132208/estonia-s-coronavirus-notification-app-hoia-downloaded-100-000-times


"29 European countries on Estonia's quarantine list." - ERR


“Helsinki Airport recorded nearly 90% drop in passengers in August.” - Helsinki Times




Unistus Eesti suurimast kaubanduskeskusest vajus kokku

(ERR)

“2013. aastal võttis Tallinna linnavolikogu vastu Lasnamäele Peterburi tee ja Laagna tee vahelisele alale kavandatud Tallink City detailplaneeringu, kuid sellest ajast peale pole asjad edasi liikunud. Mullu sügisel öeldi Infortarist ERR-ile, et projekt on "külmutatud". 

https://www.err.ee/1132541/unistus-eesti-suurimast-kaubanduskeskusest-vajus-kokku




Future increase in Lithuanians returning from abroad

(Lithuanian Tribune)

“For three continuous months, the number Lithuanians returning back has been increasing, and the stories about the last Lithuanian citizen who will have to turn off the light at the airport are sinking into oblivion.”

https://lithuaniatribune.com/why-is-there-going-to-be-a-future-increase-in-lithuanians-returning-from-abroad/








__________


Belarus

_________



Lukašenko kohtub esmaspäeval Putiniga

(ERR)

“Sotšis toimub 14. septembril president Putini kohtumine Valgevene presidendiga, kes on Venemaal töövisiidil, teatas Kremli pressiteenistus reedel.”

https://www.err.ee/1134139/lukasenko-kohtub-esmaspaeval-putiniga


“Putin, Lukashenko To Talk 'Integration' Amid Belarus Protests.” - Moscow Times




The next chapter of Belarusian history may be written in the Kremlin

(The Guaqrdian)

“Criminal charges, kidnappings, bags over the head and death threats: the Belarusian leader, Alexander Lukashenko, has deployed all the resources of his repressive apparatus this week in an attempt to suffocate the growing protest movement against his continued rule as he prepares for a crucial meeting with Vladimir Putin in Moscow.”

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/sep/11/putin-holds-key-to-belarus-crisis-as-lukashenko-heads-to-moscow




Russia Poised to Arbitrate Regime Change in Belarus

(Jamestown Org.)

Part 1:

https://jamestown.org/program/russia-poised-to-arbitrate-regime-change-in-belarus-part-one/

Part 2:

https://jamestown.org/program/russia-poised-to-arbitrate-regime-change-in-belarus-part-two/




What Russia May Have in Mind for Belarus: “Soft Annexation”

(Foreign Affairs)

“The Kremlin invaded and occupied territory in Georgia and Ukraine to prevent those countries from moving geopolitically westward. But in doing so, the Kremlin’s neoimperialists planted deep roots of resistance to Russian occupation …”

“Putin has a different plan in mind for Belarus. Instead of deploying “little green men” to occupy Belarusian territory, Moscow is aiming for something we have called “soft annexation.” The strategy is to “boil the frog” gradually, starting with economic integration and a common currency, followed by political integration through a common foreign and defense policy, and culminating in a full-fledged Union State that would mean the de facto absorption of Belarus into Russia.”

https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/europe/2020-09-08/what-russia-really-has-mind-belarus


“Europe Divided Over Belarus’s Future.” - Carnegie Europe


“Belarus at Moscow’s Mercy All Over Again.” - Jamestown Org.


“Lukashenko: If Belarus collapses, Russia is next.” - Guardian video


“Belarus First Telegram Revolution and NEXTA is Its Voice.” - Paul Goble


“Putin ‘More Dangerous Enemy of Belarus than Lukashenka Is.” - Paul Goble


“The Belarusian dictator remains in power only thanks to the support of the Kremlin.” - Warsaw Institute





Lukashenko Expels Opposition Leaders to Support Kremlin Info Op

(ISW)

“Belarusian authorities are holding Belarusian opposition leader Kolesnikova after a failed attempt to expel her to Ukraine following her abduction on September 7. Ukrainian officials confirmed Belarusian authorities “forcibly expelled” Ivan Kravtsov and Anton Rodnenkov – two of Kolesnikova’s staffers – to Ukraine on September 8. Belarusian security personnel in civilian clothes abducted Kolesnikova, Rodnenkov, and Kravtsov in downtown Minsk on September 7. Rodnenkov claimed Belarusian authorities decided to expel him and Kravtsov to Ukraine, rather than Poland or Lithuania, because they did not have passports with EU visas. Kravtsov and Rodnenkov confirmed at a press conference in Kyiv on September 8 that they witnessed Kolesnikova destroy her passport while in Belarusian detention to avoid expulsion.”

http://www.iswresearch.org/2020/09/warning-lukashenko-deports-opposition.html




Interview: Svetlana Tikhanovskaya

(Politico-Europe)

“The Belarus opposition leader: dozens disappeared after protests.”

https://www.politico.eu/article/belarus-opposition-leader-dozens-disappeared-after-protests/


“Nobel-Prize winning Belarusian author Svetlana Alexievich has written an open letter denouncing the Belarusian government’s arrest and forced exile of members of the National Coordination Council.” - Calvert Journal




Top Belarusian opposition figure Maria Kolesnikova disappears

(Politico-Europe)

“Kolesnikova was the last of the three women who joined forces to mount a formidable electoral challenge to Lukashenko remaining in Belarus. Tikhanovskaya was forced to flee to Lithuania under pressure from the authorities, while Veronika Tsepkalo is currently abroad for safety reasons.”

https://www.politico.eu/article/belarus-opposition-figure-maria-kolesnikova-disappearance/


“Kolesnikova charged with organising coup d’état.” - BNE


“Belarusians are Flying their Flag.” - RFERL


"Välisilm" võttis kokku arengud Valgevenes.” - ERR


“Opposition leader 'tore up passport' to avoid expulsion.” - BBC


“Opositsionäär: mind ähvardati Valgevenest tükeldatuna välja toimetada.” - Postimees


“Valgevene opositsioon nõukogu liige Maksim Znak on kadunud.” - ERR


“Yet Another Opposition Leader Targeted in Belarus.” - Foreign Policy


“High-profile opposition figures arrested in 'security' probe.”  - DW


“Belarusian opposition broadens tactics in bid to unseat Lukashenko.” - Politico-Europe


“In Minsk, tens of thousands of protesters continue push against Lukashenko.” - BNN


“Over 50 Belarusians come to Lithuania after election.” - Delfi


“Former school links new chief of Belarus KGB with Lithuania.” - LRT




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