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02 November, 2018



✔︎ German chancellor Angela Merkel, whom many see as the present leader of the free world, will not seek re-election in 2021.
- Multiple sources - Monday


✔︎ Estonia is teaching the West how to battle against spies
- Washington Post


✔︎ On a Tiny Finnish Island: a Helipad, 9 Piers ... and Russian Military?
- Independent | New York Times 
- see Thursday


✔︎ 'Exercise Trident Juncture' continues in Norway 'till 7. November
- Multiple sources

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- On-line version:

- ‘Kalevipoeg’ raamatu kaane grafik:

- 2014-2018 Archive:



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Friday 
2. November 
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✔︎ Estonia knows a lot about battling Russian spies, and the West is paying attention
(Washington Post)
"When it comes to Russian spies, this tiny Baltic country has a piece of advice for its Western partners: Name the agents, then shame them. So when the United States and major European allies did exactly that a month ago, Estonians felt a bit of quiet satisfaction. After all, this former Soviet republic for years has manned the front lines against covert spy operations and apparent infiltrations by Moscow.”

✔︎ Washington Post soovitab läänel võtta Vene spioonide püüdmisel Eestist eeskuju
(Postimees)
"USA ajaleht Washington Post avaldas täna artikli, milles kirjeldab Eesti aastatepikkust tööd Vene spioonide vahele võtmisel ning soovitab lääneriikidel sellest kogemusest õppida.”



- British Airways lõpetab otselennud Tallinna ja Londoni vahel
(ERR)
"Näha on ka mitmete lennufirmade ettevalmistumist Brexitiks, seda nii lennukipargi ümberpaigutamisel kui ka liinivõrgustike optimeerimisel."



- Tuleva aasta Võidupüha paraad toimub Tartus
(ERR)
"Kaitseliidu pressiesindaja ütles BNS-ile, et tuleval aastal täitub 100 aastat Eesti vägede ajaloolisest võidust Landeswehri üle Võnnu all ning 85 aastat riigikogu otsusest muuta 23. juuni riiklikuks pühaks."



Exploring Latvia's Election Day Hack
by Anna Ūdre
(CEPA)
"The front page of Draugiem.lv, the eighth most popular website in Latvia, was replaced by a Russian flag and a message saying: “Latvians, it affects you. Russia’s border never ends! …"



- How Putin could yet save Britain from Brexit
by Mark Galeotti
(The Guardian)
"MP Ben Bradshaw has used parliamentary privilege to raise the question of the mysteriously bottomless pockets of Arron Banks, the main backer for Leave.EU. The Electoral Commission this week launched an investigation into whether he and one of his companies broke campaign finance rules in the run-up to the referendum. George Cottrell, once an aide to the former Ukip leader Nigel Farage, has been arrested by the FBI on money laundering charges, and we await the outcome of that investigation."





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Thursday 
1. November
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✔︎ On a Tiny Finnish Island: a Helipad, 9 Piers, and Russian Military?
(Independent | New York Times)
"The island, Sakkiluoto, belongs to Pavel Melnikov, a 54-year-old Russian from St. Petersburg, who has dotted the property with security cameras, motion detectors and no-trespassing signs emblazoned with the picture of a fearsome-looking guard in a black balaclava. The island also has nine piers, a helipad, a swimming pool draped in camouflage netting and enough housing — all of it equipped with satellite dishes — to accommodate a small army.”


"Finland’s intelligence service, according to recent reports in the Finnish news media, has long warned that property purchased in Finland by Russian nationals could be used for military purposes.”
"Kaj Karlsson, a Finnish contractor who supervised much of the construction on Sakkiluoto, said he could never work out what Mr. Melnikov was up to, especially after he started building new piers and installed a network of security cameras on an island with no people or crime."
--

- Finnish Authorities Reportedly Raided The Russian Military’s Secret Island Hideouts
(Task & Purpose)
“…  reports suggest that the Russian government has increasingly gobbled up tiny islands in Finland in recent years as secret staging areas for Russian military assets.”

- Russian Navy's Aircraft Carrier Is Damaged While Undergoing Repairs
(Jamestown Org)
"Russia’s sole aircraft carrier, the Admiral Kuznetsov, suffered another mishap while undergoing overhaul work (capitalny remont) at a dockyard in Roslyakovo, near Murmansk. The Kuznetsov was being renovated while moored inside floating dock PD-50 … (which) suddenly began to list at an increasingly dangerous angle as its tanks chaotically took on water. One of the PD-50’s two 70-ton cranes fell onto the deck of the Kuznetsov, causing damage."



- Economist: Immigration quota may be irrelevant in 10 yrs
(Baltic Times)
"According to Bank of Estonia economist Rasmus Kattai, the standard of living in Estonia in all probability will increase by such an amount that more and more people from other European Union countries will also want to come work or live here. "This way, the immigration quota will become either of little to no importance,” Kattai said in a press release.”



- Get your packages delivered via robot
(Washington Post)
"Starship Technologies was founded in Estonia in 2014 by two Skype founders. The company’s robots present an alternative vision of the future of package delivery by companies such as Amazon, UPS and Google, which are betting on drone delivery from above. Each company is looking for a cheaper solution to the “last mile” delivery problem - a product’s final path from warehouses to residents - which accounts for just over half of delivery costs ...”

- Starship Technologies App

- Estonian tech company Cleveron enters Canadian market
(Strategeast)
"The Viljandi, South Estonia based developer and manufacturer of delivery solutions Cleveron has expanded its activity to Canada by installing the first five of its parcel robots in the stores of the largest local retailer, Canadian Tire Corporation."



- Estonia calls up 1,248 reservists for Okas 2018 
(Estonian World)
"At the proposal of the commander of the Estonian Defence Forces, reservists assigned to the 51st Logistics Battalion of the Support Command, including those assigned to the unit’s mobilisation reserve, have been called up to take part in a supplementary reservist training event …"

Claim: With enough defence capability, Estonia can ignore allies’ advice
(ERR)
"Once Estonia possesses sufficient independent defence capability, it will no longer have to heed uncomfortable advice from its allies, Conservative People's Party of Estonia (EKRE) chairman Mart Helme said at an event introducing the party's positions on national defence on Wednesday."



- Fewer people moving to Finland, more leaving
(Yle)
"A total of 31,797 persons moved to Finland in 2017, which was some 3,100 fewer than the previous year."



- Revise And Resubmit: An Unconvincing Proposal For Permanent U.S. Troops In Poland
(War on the Rocks)
"A recent visit to Washington, by Polish President Andrzej Duda, garnered considerable media attention, as he offered to contribute $1.5–$2 billion for construction, and even to call it 'Fort Trump'. … While some political commentators thought it potentially a worthwhile idea, it was criticized by former U.S. Army Europe commander Lt. Gen. Ben Hodges, Michael Fitzsimmons, and Michael Kofman. … It has been a debate worth having, and Poland is better off for not having its proposal ignored."



- Churchill and the Baltics
By Richard M. Langworth
(The Churchill Project)

Part 1 - Enter Winston Churchill
"Britain had been the first outside nation to take a practical interest in the Baltic independence struggle, which began in the wake of the Russian collapse and revolution of 1917.”

Part 2 - “Very Lively and Truculent” 1921-1931
"Baltic appeals to Britain for help in maintaining their independence were frequent and heart-rending."

Part 3 - “It Leaves Me Quite Cold” 1931-40
"Baltic historians in their partisanship tend to see British prewar policy toward Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania in a narrow light."

Part 4 - “No doubt where the right lay” 1940-1995
"When Germany invaded the Soviet Union on 22 June 1941, Churchill broadcast: 'the Russian danger is therefore our danger.' Many Britons now renewed the demand to recognize Soviet occupation of Latvia, Lithuania and Estonia.





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Exercise Trident Juncture
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- Russia tactics send NATO back to basics
(Deutsche Welle)
"Norway provides ample obstacles as the military alliance's make-believe battleground for the Trident Juncture exercise."


- NATO war exercises in Norway
(Euronews)
"29 NATO countries plus Sweden and Finland are participating in Exercise Trident Juncture, that's mostly based on defending a country from a "fictitious aggressor" — but with the geography of Norway, it's not difficult to see what they're preparing for. The drills are already considered a success simply for managing to move all the personnel and equipment on location."


- Nato jets over Finnish Lapland
(Yle)
"The Lapland Air Command is serving as base for a Nato exercise for the first time. Taking off from its airfield will be Finnish Hornets as well as US and Belgian fighter jets and aerial refuelling planes."


- NATO’s Trident Juncture: Old Dog, Old and New Tricks
(ICDS)


- ‘Cold War’ Takes New Meaning for U.S. Marines at a NATO Exercise
(New York Times)
"Warfare in northern Europe is entirely different. It requires attention to small details, like carrying cold-weather lubricant for machine guns, as well as to seismic decisions, like moving thousands of men and women and their heavy machinery and weapons across fields packed with snow - something American troops have not had to worry much about for more than a half-century.”


Photos: NATO war games
(Various sources)


- NATO expects Russian 'Professionalism' as both prepare for war games
(RFERL)


- NATO denies Norway exercises show alliance is expanding northwards
(Euronews)


- NATO rejects comparison between ‘Trident Juncture’, Cold War exercises
(Jane’s 360)


"Norway’s aviation authorities has received a warning from Russia’s air traffic management center about upcoming rocket firings in the period from November 6th to 9th at daytime from 5 am to 7 pm.”

- NATO warned about Russian missile test last week
(Norway Today | RFERL)
“… the Russian exercise will take place in the Norwegian Sea just off the Møre Coast, a short distance from Kristiansund, Molde and Ålesund, and in an area with several Norwegian offshore installations. The exercise will take place from Nov. 1st to 3rd.”


Pro-Kremlin TASS: 2 of Russia's strategic bombers on mission over Barents, Norwegian seas


- Anti-NATO Demonstrations in Oslo
(News-in-english: Norway)
"Norway out of NATO, yankees go home,” chanted nearly 1,000 demonstrators who marched through downtown Oslo on Saturday and then assembled for a rally. They represented 27 organizations including Socialist Left (SV) and Reds political parties.”





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Tuesday 
30. October
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- Estonian financial sector little impacted by Danske scandal
(Reuters)
"The scandal involves 200 billion euros ($230 billion) in payments through Danske’s Estonian branch between 2007 and 2015."

- How Danske Bank's Estonia branch became a pipeline for dirty money
(FT)

- Kaljulaid nimetas Danske rahapesu asja kitsaskohad
(Postimees)
"Kaljulaid ütles Prantsuse telekanalile France24 antud intervjuus, et Danske rahapesu asjus tegid vigu nii Taani kui ka Eesti järelevalveasutused."

- Estonian, Danish supervisory authorities made mistakes
(ERR)




- Ratas encourages Norwegian companies to invest in Estonia
(Baltic Times)
"Our current account is at a surplus, the banks have a lot of capital, the budget is in balance and debt burden is low. Our economy, gross domestic product is growing for the ninth year in a row already."



- Estonia: Soviet history, Russian relations, defence, & the cutting edge of digital
(France24)
Part 1:
Part 2:




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Monday
29. October 
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- A Russian Urban Legend that Just Won’t Die – Anti-Moscow 'Amazon Fighters from the Baltics'
by Paul Goble
(Window on Eurasia)
"The story has it that there are beautiful Baltic women who have become snipers and have taken part in virtually all anti-Russian military actions from Afghanistan on. It has been the subject of at least two Russian feature movies, a huge number of tv programs and articles, and even has its own Wikipedia page."



- NATO jets in Baltics scrambled five times last week over Russian aircraft
(Delfi-Lithuania)



- Speakers of Baltic parliaments doubt their countries could be compensated for Soviet occupation damage
(Baltic Times)
"Viktoras Pranckietis, speaker of the Lithuanian Seimas, said the Baltic countries "hit the wall.” … Eiki Nestor, speaker of the Estonian Riigikogu, said "I'm not so sure something very positive can happen on this issue.” … Inara Murniece, speaker of the Latvia Saeima, said the Baltic nations should first agree among themselves on this issue.”
"The Estonian Justice Ministry said in mid-October that a special commission estimated the soviet occupation damage at 1.2 billion euros."



- More Tensions in the Sea of Azov
(Warsaw Institute)
"Russia responded to joint EU and NATO allegations go blocking the sea passage to Ukrainian ports with the ever-increasing military activities in this region. The state’s Black Sea Fleet launched military drills while Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov reiterated that Russia would never agree to let any NATO vessels to enter the Sea of Azov.”

- Venemaa on Aasovil kehtestanud hübriidblokaadi
(Postimees)
"Venemaa on hakanud Aasovi merd oma järveks pidama.”

- Moscow’s Blockade of the Sea of Azov Intended to Force Kyiv to Lift Its Own on Crimea
(Window on Eurasia)
“Russia is seeking to create problems for Ukraine to force it into negotiations.”



- The Lessons of the Donbas Election Campaigns
(Carnegie Moscow)
"Just two months ago, there were no plans to hold elections in the self-proclaimed Donetsk and Luhansk people’s republics, even though the four-year terms of the Donbas officials were coming to an end. The republics had said they didn’t have sufficient funding to hold elections, and that they feared a Ukrainian offensive. Then, the assassination of Donetsk leader Alexander Zakharchenko in late August forced everyone into an about-turn. It was decided that elections in the Donbas were necessary in order to fill a power vacuum and avoid destabilization, and they will take place on November 11."



- German chancellor Angela Merkel will not seek re-election in 2021
(The Guardian - UK)
"After dominating European politics for well over a decade, Angela Merkel has said her fourth term as Germany’s chancellor will be her last. Speaking after disastrous regional elections in Hesse and Bavaria for her Christian Democrats and its Bavaria-only sister party, Merkel on Monday said she saw the results as a clear signal that things can’t go on as they are.”
"Often hailed as the world’s most powerful woman and the de facto leader of Europe, Merkel long enjoyed German voters’ support as a guarantor of the country’s stability and prosperity."

"Merkel ei kandideeri parteijuhiks, kuid jääb 2021. aastani liidukantsleriks."

"Bundestag President Wolfgang Schäuble: Merkel won't be a 'lame duck’."

"Angela Merkel's farewell leaves Germany at crossroads."

"As Merkel’s star dims, Europe is facing perhaps its biggest challenge since 1930s."

"Angela Merkel’s decision may have surprising consequences."

“The Chancellor’s decision to step down as party chief means instability for her country and for Europe."

"Kohli tüdrukust liidukantsleriks ehk Angela Merkeli 29 aastat tipp-poliitikas."

"Ever since her 2015 decision to allow more than a million refugees to enter Germany, she has earned herself plenty of critics and enemies within her own party ...”

"The long painful end of Angela Merkel."

"Angela Merkeli poliitikukarjäär läbi aastate."

"Angela Merkel’s Exit Is Yet Another Blow to European Stability."




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Russia
Trust No One"
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- The ruins of Aralsk-7: A long-abandoned top-secret Soviet biological weapons lab
(Meduza)
"Until the 1940s, the only thing on Vozrozhdeniya Island in the Aral Sea was a small fish processing plant. That changed when the Soviet government decided to open a top-secret biological weapons research and test site, transforming the quiet town of Kantubek into the closed military city Aralsk-7. From the 1960s to the late 1980s, the island was home to roughly 1,500 people — mostly scientists working at the laboratory, testing different viruses and bacteria on animals."



- GULAG was Not Something Far Away in Siberia: It was All Around Even in Moscow
by Paul Goble
(Window on Eurasia)
“… a new map of “The GULAG in Moscow” shows that Stalin’s camps and torture places were not somewhere far away as some imagine but everywhere.”
"In Moscow alone, the map shows there were 190 GULAG facilities. There were 174 forced labor locations, 121 sharashkas where imprisoned scientists were forced to work for the state, and 27 sites listed under the category “concentration camps and houses of arrest.”
Also on Euromaidan:

Screenshot.
For full-size interactive map, see topos.memo.ru/



- Putin, Seeing Europe as Threat to His Power, Making Russia a Chinese Colony
(Window on Eurasia)
"Although he comes from Petersburg, Vladimir Putin is above all “not a European politician but rather an anti-European one” because he views the democratic values of Europe as a threat to his power, Lev Shlosberg says. As a result, he prefers to cooperate with authoritarian China …"



- Russians Remember Victims Of Stalin's Great Terror
(RFERL | Meduza)
"Hundreds of people gathered at the Solovetsky Kamen (Solovki Stone) memorial on Moscow's Lubyanka Square on October 29 for the daylong ceremony called Returning The Names. Participants - relatives of the dead, rights activists, and others - read aloud the names, ages, occupations, and dates of executions of some 40,000 Muscovites - a fraction of the estimated 1 million or more Soviet citizens killed by the state in 1937-38."
--
"The human rights group Memorial has held the ceremony every year since 2006 at the site in plain view of the building that what was the headquarters of the Soviet KGB and now houses the Russian Federal Security Service (FSB), its main successor."



- Provincial Russian Billboards Honor Stalin's Executioners
(RFERL)
"The Vladimir billboard campaign, created by the local museum of the Federal Security Service (FSB), the successor organization to the KGB, features portraits and short, sanitized biographies of officers who served in the Soviet security services. …" 

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26 October, 2018





✔︎ Trident Juncture 18biggest military exercise since the end of the Cold War - hosted by Norway 25. October to 7. November.
- Multiple sources - see Thursday's news listing

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Friday
26. October 
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Arvamus: Kes on rohkem eestlane?

Luukas Kristjan Ilves
(ERR)
"Ilves mõtestab kodanikuks olemist oma isikliku kogemuse läbi ning leiab, et Eestil oleks topeltkodakondsuse lubamisest rohkem võita kui kaotada."


Opinion: Who is more Estonian?
"Reflecting on what it means to be a citizen based on his own personal experiences, Ilves finds that Estonia has more to gain than lose in allowing dual citizenship."


Arvamus: Topeltkodakondsus toob kasu eestlastele
Abdul Turay
"Mu poeg on eestlane, kuid tal on sama olukord, mis Luukas Ilvesel. Kui ta saab 18-aastaseks, peab ta valiku langetama, kuid sellega kaasneb täiesti arusaamatu paradoks - ta saab Eesti kodakondsusest loobuda, kuid ta ei saa seda kaotada. Paljudel inimestel pole nii vedanud."


- Estonia to strip citizenship from Abkhazian Estonians
"According to a recent decision by the Supreme Court of Estonia, Estonians who left Estonia prior to the establishment of the Republic of Estonia and did not return after the Treaty of Tartu entered into force are not actually Estonian citizens. This decision has drastically affected one such Estonian family from Abkhazia from whom the state wants to strip their mistakenly granted citizenship by birth."


- Kaljulaid, Ratas call for citizenship laws to be amended if necessary

"Seeing all that has happened in recent weeks with the citizenship of Alli Rutto, an Estonian residing in Abkhazia, I am embarrassed," Kaljulaid wrote on Facebook, adding that she was embarrassed both as a person as well as a public officer for what happened to Rutto and other people in a similar position.”



- Estonia is still clearing thousands of World War II mines from its waters
(Washington Post)
"Mines and bombs from World War II also litter other bodies of water, including the North Sea and the Mediterranean Sea. But the only European states that have systematically attempted to clear the rusting weapons are those around the Baltic.”
"After World War II, the Allies decided to dump 300,000 metric tons of munitions into the ocean, which appeared to be the safest and most easily accessible disposal ground. But some of the weapons - including land mines containing mustard gas - were simply dropped into the Baltic and North seas rather than being taken to faraway dump sites."



- How to Talk About and With Russia: Estonia Has a Thing or Two to Learn From Finland
by Kristi Raik
(ICDS)
“… we tend to think Finns are naive about Russia."
--
"This may be so with some ordinary citizens, but the people responsible for Finland’s foreign policy know their eastern neighbour. Estonians find it difficult to understand that the naive-sounding talk is part of the Finnish tradition of coping with Russia. The fake naiveté helps to maintain friendly relations with Russia—which Finland always strives to do, however desperate the situation. A foreign observer might not always know where the border between feigned and sincere goodwill lies.”
--
"Estonia could learn a thing or two from Finnish traditions of communication with Russia. Finland tries to maintain a dialogue with its eastern neighbour in all circumstances. It is a complicated and dangerous game. Russia is striving to exploit its bilateral relations with EU member states to fragment European unity and disseminate its interpretations. One shouldn’t give Russia too many opportunities for doing this. Estonia views the Finnish-Russian dialogue with well-substantiated scepticism. Estonia has no reason to strive for similarly close contacts with Russia; it has neither the prerequisites nor the need for it. Nevertheless, Estonia would benefit from closer dialogue with our eastern neighbour. We have to know Russia and need contacts for that."



- After 700 years in Latvia, Baltic Germans vanished in a matter of weeks
(Latvian Broadcasting)
"In 1939, the twilight of the Latvian state was closing in, like a deadly avalanche. On August 23 the Molotov–Ribbentrop Pact was concluded; war broke out on September 1; the military base agreement, forced upon Latvia by the USSR followed on October 5. On that same day, German envoys in Rīga and Tallinn received a note from the Reich tasking them to inform the Latvian and Estonian governments about the repatriation of Baltic Germans. This operation had been planned in great haste and secrecy by Hitler.”
"The streets were full with carriages hauling furniture. Their real estate was taken over by a public company set up for the task. Baltic German companies were closed. The first ship left Latvia on November 7, and the last left the Baltic shores on December 16.”
"About 50,000 people had left Latvia in a matter of weeks. They were mostly the elites. It sparked an economic crisis. Demand decreased rapidly as the greater spenders had left. Real estate prices plunged as thousands of apartments had been left, some Rīga streets were abandoned entirely. The GDP was riven down by the closure of hundreds of companies. There was a labor shortage as well. A gaping hole had been torn in the Latvian nation. …"



- The Rise of Russia's GRU Military Intelligence Service
(Spiegel)
"Each autumn, Russia's GRU secret service celebrates its birthday. Falling on Nov. 5, the festival is officially called the Day of the Military Intelligence Agent and commemorates the founding of the Soviet military intelligence service in 1918.”
--
"Since the dismantling of the Soviet Union's once all-purpose KGB, Russia has been home to a broad palette of intelligence agencies. The KGB's First Chief Directorate became the Foreign Intelligence Service of the Russian Federation. The agency is regarded as chic and elegant, and it is located "in the forest," as its shielded headquarters are referred to in agent jargon. The KGB's Ninth Chief Directorate became the Federal Protective Service (FSO), which is responsible for providing protection to Putin and the Kremlin. The agency is feared primarily because proximity to Putin is synonymous with power in the country. The rest of the KGB became the Federal Security Service (FSB), the domestic intelligence agency. It's the best-known agency and it also took over KGB headquarters at Lubyanka Square. Unfortunately, it also adopted some of the Soviet secret polices' methods.”




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Thursday
25. October 
_____________



NATO: 'Trident Juncture 18'

(Multiple sources)
"NATO begins it’s biggest military drills since the end of the Cold War."

"NATO näitab õppustega valmidust lüüa tagasi mistahes rünnak."

"Trident Juncture 18, as the operation has been called, will test the response of the North Atlantic alliance to a mock attack on Norway. Over two weeks, drills will stretch from the Baltic Sea to Iceland – with some of the action taking place close to Russia, which itself held a huge military drill last month."

"Nimitz-class aircraft carrier USS Harry S. Truman (CVN 75) and select ships from Carrier Strike Group Eight (CSG-8) joined U.S. Army, Air Force and Marine Corps service members Oct. 25 for the largest NATO exercise since 2015 … After sailing off the coasts of Iceland and in the North Sea, strike group ships crossed the Arctic Circle and began operations in the Norwegian Sea.”

"The Harry S. Truman Carrier Strike Group (HSTCSG) will expand its compliment of capabilities off the coast of Norway, performing air, surface and subsurface operations while being confronted by the trio of freezing temperatures, fierce winds, and unpredictable seas.”

“… Sweden has stayed away from military alliances. Deciding to participate in an exercise that stresses the mutual defense of member states as embodied in Article 5 of NATO’s founding treaty, shows a profound shift in that country’s strategic thinking. Finland has for decades delicately balanced its independence and internal politics with the need to maintain proper relations with neighboring Russia. Playing the “NATO card” keeps Moscow guessing as to its long-term intentions.”

"Venemaa reaktsioon NATO suurõppusele on olnud tagasihoidlik.”

"The goal of the exercises is to test and train NATO's Very High Readiness Joint Task Force and follow-on forces. The rapid reaction force is designed to spearhead a defense against an attack on an alliance member within days and is a component of the NATO Response Force."

"The exercise envisages an armed attack against Norway, a scenario that seems all too real after a year of provocative Russian exercises aimed at Norway, such as a simulated attack against the Norwegian intelligence service installation in Vardo by Russian bombers in March 2017.”

"The Finnish Air Force's Lapland Air Command's main operating base at Rovaniemi will also be used by some of the aircraft participating in the exercise."

"Moskva: NATO üritab õppustega tõmmata Rootsit ja Soomet oma tegevusse."



Putin: "Venemaa ei ähvarda kedagi, relvastub vaid enesekaitseks."
(Postimees)

- Top 3 Ways to Spread Disinformation About Military Exercises
(EU vs Disinfo)



- European Intervention Initiative: The Big Easy
(Berlin Policy Journal 15. Oct.)
"The European Intervention Initiative (E2I), outlined by French President Emmanuel Macron during his September 2017 Sorbonne speech, will take a more concrete form this November following the ministerial meeting and Military European Strategic Talks (MEST) setting the political guidance and technical processes. So far, nine countries—Belgium, Denmark, Estonia, France, Germany, the Netherlands, Portugal, Spain, and the United Kingdom—have signed a Letter of Intent, and others may soon join. …"



- Lithuanian freedom fighters in Russian propaganda: why does the Kremlin care?
(Delfi-Lithuania)

"The Kremlin's propaganda media aim to portray the partisans as Nazi collaborators who actively participated in the extermination of the Jewish population. Also, there is an effort to depict the entire partisan movement as criminal, and there are repeated lies about how the main partisan leaders were Nazi criminals, Jew-killers, bandits who terrorized the local communities.”

"The goal of Russian propaganda is to whitewash the history of Soviet occupation."



- Kaitseväe juhataja Võru maavaidluse kohta: riik ei saa anda järele väljapressimisele
(Lõuna Eestlane)



- Counting the Dead in Europe’s Forgotten War
(Foreign Policy)
"The head of the OSCE’s observer mission in Ukraine describes the challenges and frustrations of monitoring the war."



EU: Headed for a Brexit Crashout
(New York Magazine)
"Time to stop fixating on emerging economies like Turkey, or Trump’s trade wars hurting global growth, and turn your focus to the U.K. - which is even now, after last week’s summit, on a path to the worst sort of Brexit, a disorderly “no deal” in which the U.K. leaves the European Union with no agreement at all on March 29. That means no plan and no disruption-reducing transition period — which in turn means chaos at U.K. and E.U. ports, food and medication shortages, and, if we’re unlucky, an eventual U.K. financial crisis for which we’re extremely unprepared. And there isn’t a scenario that has a decent chance of changing that trajectory.”





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Wednesday
24. October 
_____________


- NATO ei taha Euroopasse rohkem tuumarelvi
(Pealinn)
"NATO peasekretär Jens Stoltenberg ütles kolmapäeval, et tema arvates ei taha alliansi liikmesriigid vastuseks Venemaa uuele raketiprogrammile Euroopasse rohkem tuumarelvi. "Me ei taha uut külma sõda," ütles Stoltenberg. "Me ei taha uut võidurelvastumist." 

- NATO: More nukes in Europe not likely
(The Hill | Baltic Times)

- Moscow’s Nuclear Enigma: What Is Russia’s Arsenal Really For?
(Foreign Affairs)
"But those who fret about the Russian arsenal misread the Kremlin’s intentions and put forward the wrong solutions. The real danger is not a new and more aggressive Russian nuclear strategy; it is the Kremlin’s failure to communicate its goals effectively to leaders in Washington and elsewhere."



Intervjuu: Kindral Riho Terras
(ERR)
"Detsembri alguses lõpeb kindral Riho Terrasel kaitseväe juhataja seitsme-aastane ametiaeg. Ta tunnistab, et tunneb kogu aeg hirmu, mõeldes Eesti sõduritele välismissioonidel, aga ei karda Venemaa rünnakut, sest on kindel, et president Putin usub NATO-sse praegu palju rohkem, kui viis aastat tagasi."



- Estonia should stop emitting CO2 by 2030
(Baltic Course)
"Estonia should strive towards a situation where by 2030, transportation is the only pollutant emitting carbon dioxide, Estonian President Kersti Kaljulaid said. "I believe we should start discussing that, excluding transportation, Estonia, too, should be free of carbon dioxide emissions by 2030. Today, the knowledge and the technology are good enough for that - that is what our green energy specialists say," Kaljulaid, who is currently on a working visit to the Pacific Islands, told LETA/BNS on Wednesday. "I think it is worthy of a discussion."



- Teises kvartalis oli Euroopa Liidu kõige madalama riigivõlaga riik jätkuvalt Eesti
(Postimees)



- Data breach dents Estonia’s reputation for online expertise
(Emerging Europe)



- European elections 'face growing threat of manipulation’
(The Guardian)
"The scandal over the misuse of Facebook data by Cambridge Analytica and the growing evidence of illegal interference in elections were described by the commission as a “wake-up call” to which national governments had to respond."

- Apple CEO Tim Cook's sharp rebuke of 'data industrial complex'
(Washington Post)
"Apple chief executive Tim Cook, who spoke to the European Parliament in Brussels, praised the EU’s Global Data Protection Regulation, which other companies have criticized as cumbersome and posing a risk to innovation. "It is time for the rest of the world - including my home country - to follow your lead.”

- Tim Cook says tech's dark side is real
(Axios)
"Platforms and algorithms that promised to improve our lives can actually magnify our worst human tendencies."



- German-Russian Rapprochement: Gas and Common Enemies
(Warsaw Institute)
"The Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline project is extremely important for both parties; it will enable Russia to increase both Germany and Europe’s dependence on its raw material while hitting Ukraine. As for Berlin, it will be provided with direct access to such volumes of gas that would manage to dominate the gas market in Central and part of Western Europe.”
--
"On August 18, Chancellor Angela Merkel and President Vladimir Putin held a meeting at the German government’s castle in Meseburg. This was the first bilateral summit of both leaders in Germany since 2013 that clearly reflected a noticeable warming in German-Russian relations. According to many Germans who advocated cooperation with Moscow, such step constituted a symbolic return to a “diplomatic normality” after ties between the two countries had been strained following Russia’s annexation of the Crimea region. And even Putin was the first to reach out to the Germans …”
--

"A gas covenant: Berlin and Moscow have long ignored protests from such countries as Poland and Ukraine, as evidenced by the implementation of the Nord Stream pipeline and then also by launching the Nord Stream 2 project." 






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Tuesday
23. October 
_____________


- Estonia send ten staff officers to NATO exercise in Norway
(ERR)
"In Norway, NATO will be conducting the largest exercise since the Cold War, bringing together for the first snowfall some 50,000 troops in the north of the country to demonstrate to Russia the alliance's capability to defend an ally against any adversary. Trident Juncture will begin on Thursday and run through 7 November." 



- Finland to prohibit energy use of coal by 2029
(Helsinki Times)
"The Finnish government re-affirmed its commitment to combating climate change by submitting two legislative proposals to the Parliament on Thursday. One of the proposals would promote the use of biofuels in transport and that of biogas-fuels in heating and manufacturing. The other, in turn, would prohibit the use of coal for energy production as of 1 May 2029."



- Toward a "New Ostpolitik"
(Berlin Policy Journal)
"Rather than making overtures to the Kremlin, German foreign minister Heiko Maas pushes for more cooperation with Central Europe. “We need an understanding between all EU members about the foundations of joint action” toward Russia, Maas said. A new Ostpolitik “must take into account the needs of all Europeans—those of the Baltic states and Poland as well as those of the western [European] countries.“
"In order to achieve this unity, Germany should act as a bridge-builder, counterbalancing the recent drift between the EU’s East and West triggered by the refugee crisis. Rather than simply criticizing Eastern neighbors for their attitudes, “[Germans] must learn to see Europe more through the eyes of other Europeans,” Maas said. “We Germans in particular should stop taking the moral high ground on migration, especially vis-à-vis our partners from Central and Eastern Europe. Mutual finger wagging and moral arrogance will only deepen divisions.”



- Eight of the 47 howitzers the Latvian army bought from Austria will be stationed in Latgale
(Latvian Broadcasting)



The Case for a Permanent U.S. Military Presence in Poland
(War on the Rocks)



- Vene saatkond jagas Eesti välisministeeriumi postitust annekteeritud Krimmist
(Postimees)
"Venemaa saatkond jagas eelmisel nädalal Twitteris Eesti välisministeeriumi kaastundeavalust Krimmi koolitulistamise pärast, saatkond ei märganud aga, et välisministeeriumi postituses on kasutatud sõnu «annekteeritud Krimm»."




_____________

Monday
22. October 
_____________


- Väliseestlaste organisatsioon soovib 1944. aasta põgenikele mälestuspäeva
(ERR)
"Ülemaailmne Eesti Kesknõukogu (ÜEKN) saatis riigikogule pöördumise, milles tegi ettepaneku kuulutada 19. september ametlikult 1944. aasta suurpõgenemise mälestuspäevaks."



- Latvia's innovative diaspora law ready for decisive vote
(Latvian Broadcasting)



- Does Estonia’s History with Two Orthodox Churches have Lessons for Ukraine?
(Window on Eurasia)
"The history of Orthodoxy in Estonia shows that “the peaceful coexistence of two churches is possible” in a single country; but it also shows how difficult that situation can prove for the faithful and for the countries involved."



- Ministry proposes to establish Estonia's eastern border requirements as EU border standard
(Baltic Times)



- After Estonia's ID-card train wreck this identity app is taking Baltics by storm
(ZDNet)



Disarming Disinfo
by Brian Whitmore
(CEPA podcast)



Lithuanian army's Iron Wolf brigade affiliated to German army division
(Delfi Lithuania)
“… will open more opportunities to ensure our Brigade is ready to act in composition of a division through training and exercises. It will also improve interoperability with the German-led NATO enhanced Forward Presence Battalion Battle Group."






_____________

Russia
Trust No One"
_____________


- Is There a Successor to Putin?
(Riddle)
"Russians are experiencing a lack of stability, which reinforces a demand for an ‘iron fist’ that could restore order. … According to a July 2017 Levada survey, 44% believe power should be vested in the hands of a single, strong person, up from 32% in 2016. At the same time, the share of those who condemn Stalin dropped dramatically thanks to the growing number of indifferent youth."



- GRU Exposure: A Sign of Internal Power Struggles?
(Riddle)
"Intra-elite conflicts within the regime of Vladimir Putin have always fascinated Russia watchers. This is understandable: hardly anything would upend the current system more than the growth of internal contradictions and inter-clan fights. Fresh developments have brought this topic right back to the forefront. Namely, the recent exposure of employees of the Main Directorate of the General Staff of the Ministry of Defence (more commonly known as the GRU) relating to the Skripal poisonings."



- Kremlin Propagandist Calls to Define Limits of Free Speech in Russia
(The Moscow Times)
"Top Kremlin propagandist Dmitry Kiselyov asked Russian academics on Thursday “to define the limits of what is not inadmissible and what is allowed under freedom of speech and freedom of expression.” Kiselyov, often described as the Kremlin’s chief spin doctor, is best known as presenter of Vesti Nedeli, a weekly news programme on the state-run Rossia 1 television network. Earlier this week, Kiselyov suggested “narrowing the range of freedom of speech in Russia,” when criticizing an upcoming satirical film about the siege of Leningrad during World War II."



- Moscow bans ceremony honoring victims of Stalin’s Terror
(The Guardian)
"Memorial, the country’s oldest rights group, has held a 12-hour ceremony every year on 29 October for the past 11 years. Hundreds of people read out names of those killed during Stalin-era repressions at a memorial in Lubyanka Square, outside the headquarters of the current security service and its Stalin-era predecessors. Historians estimate about a million people perished in Stalin’s Terror, also known as the Great Purge, in the 1930s."



- Putin Core Team On Its Way to Being as Old as Brezhnev’s Politburo Was
(Window on Eurasia)
"Vladimir Putin has hyped his youthful physical well being so often that many are in danger of forgetting that at the end of his current term in 2924, he will be 72, the Ustinov Trolling Telegram channel says. But even more, his closest entourage will in many cases be as old or older and thus resemble the aging Leonid Brezhnev’s Politburo.”

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