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27 January, 2017


✔ Trump ja May kinnitasid toetust NATO-le 

✔ British Prime Minister Theresa May confirmed that Trump is "100% in favor of NATO” 

✔ Trump and Putin are scheduled to speak by phone on Saturday


✔ “Off-Topic” is a new category which will appear from time-to-time. It will include links to articles not specifically related to Eesti, but might be of interest. This week’s subject: ‘Alternative facts’.



- Foto:

https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Eesti#/media/File:Suur_Taevaskoda_2010_01.jpg



_________________


Friday 27. Jan.
_________________

✔ Trump and May 'committed' to Nato
(BBC | Politico-Europe | The Guardian)
"US President Donald Trump and British Prime Minister Theresa May have reaffirmed their commitment to the Nato alliance after White House talks.
Mrs May confirmed Mr Trump was "100% in favour of Nato" despite the president's recent comments calling the transatlantic alliance obsolete.
Both leaders said they would work to strengthen commercial ties.”
--
--
- President Trump and Theresa May Joint News Conference 
Video and Analysis - New York Times
[Trump and May approach their podiums at 7:34 into the video.]



✔ Trump ja May kinnitasid toetust NATO-le
(ERR)
"USA president Donald Trump ja Briti peaminister Theresa May kinnitasid pärast kohtumist Valges Majas oma pühendumist NATO liidule.
May kinnitas, et "Trump on sajaprotsendiliselt NATO poolt", vaatamata tema hiljutistele kommentaaridele, milles nimetas allianssi iganenuks, vahendasid BBC ja Reuters."
--
"Mõlemad riigipead kinnitasid, et teevad tööd kaubandussidemete tugevdamise nimel. May sõnul arutasid nad praktilisi samme kaubandussuhete lihtsustamiseks."






Ülevaade: President Kaljulaidi 100 päeva ametis
(Postimees)



Interview: Former Estonian President Toomas Hendrik Ilves
(Stanford Political Journal)
“People have forgotten what war is like. …”
--
- Ilves pälvis Saksa Bertelsmanni fondi €200,000 autasu
(Postimees)
Ilves gets Bertelsmann Foundation prize “.. for his pioneering work on the promotion of digitalization in government, education and public services."



Tallink Welcomes New LNG-Powered Ferry: Megastar
(World Maritime News)
"Megastar is 212 meters long and capable of carrying up to 2,800 passengers. Dubbed the most advanced fast ferry in the Baltic Sea, the new vessel is scheduled to start operating between Helsinki and Tallinn from January 29."
--
Fotod: Tallinki uus kiirlaev Megastar suundub liinile pühapäeval
(Tarbija24 | Delfi | Ärileht)



✔ Interview: Historian Anne Applebaum
(Spiegel)
"Pulitzer-winning writer and historian Anne Applebaum talks about what the rise of Donald Trump means for Europe, what the future holds for NATO and whether democracy can survive the rise of right-wing populism."




_________________


Thursday 26. Jan.
_________________


- President Kaljulaid Visits Sweden
(ERR)
"There are not many countries who understand Estonians as well as Swedish people do," Kaljulaid said following meetings with Swedish leaders. "The economies of Sweden and Estonia are closely intertwined, as are the histories of thousands of our families."

--
"Apart from economic issues, other topics discussed at the meetings included the future of Europe, bilateral defense cooperation, Estonia's priorities for its upcoming presidency of the EU as well as the importance of cooperation in the Baltic Sea region."
- Sweden and Estonia are closely intertwined
(Office of the President press release)
- Rootsi ja Eesti on tihedalt põimunud



Cyberconscripts: Baltic Draftees Can Choose IT Over Infantry
(ABCNews)
"The tiny Baltic nation of Estonia is experimenting with the idea of cyberconscription, a move that gives draftees with tech skills the chance to work shoring up their military's electronic infrastructure."



- Citizens said no to blanket citizenship
(Postimees | ERR)
“… one of the authors of the Estonian Constitution, Jüri Adams, says that any attempt to change the foundations of Estonia's citizenship policy is an attempt to change the results of the 1992 referendum that would rip open old wounds. Prime Minister Jüri Ratas believes that the upcoming elections should concentrate on changing that foundation."



- Rail Baltic -


- Valitsus kiitis heaks Rail Balticu kokkuleppe allkirjastamise, trassi vastased avaldasid meelt
(ERR)
- Rail Balticu vastane: raudsest laupkokkupõrkest tuleb loobuda
(Delfi)
-- 
- Estonian govt gives green light to signature of Rail Baltic agreement
(Postimees)
[Rail Baltic agreement not to be put before lawmakers until April.]
- Rail Baltic coordinator says extra stops in Estonia being analyzed
(Baltic Times)
"At present, the project includes three stops in Estonia -- Tallinn, Rapla, and Parnu. … county governors have proposed adding eight stops on the route."
--
- Leedu andis Rail Balticule rohelise tule
(Postimees)



- Even if Trump and Putin Make a Deal, Ukrainians Ready to Fight to Defend Their Country
(Window on Eurasia)
“… Kyiv is concerned that Trump in his pursuit of a deal with Putin may be ready to discuss a resolution of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict without the participation of any representative of the Ukrainian side.”
 "But Russian officials have repeatedly insisted that Ukraine has no place in such talks because, according to their false claim, Russia is not involved militarily in Ukraine."



Norway: How One NATO Country Is Preparing for Trump
(The Atlantic)
"Norwegian defense officials spoke carefully about their changing situation. “The Baltic countries feel threatened; we don’t feel threatened, but we see the potential,” one said. But they are concerned.”
"Norwegians are encouraged by the selection of James Mattis as U.S. defense secretary. They fought beside him and under his command in Iraq and Afghanistan …"





_________________


Wednesday 25. Jan.
_________________


- Soome suurim reisiajakiri valis Eesti parimaks lähisihtkohaks
(Postimees)


- Eesti rahvas on nakatunud trammipisikuga
(Postimees)
--
- Construction on Tallinn airport tram line extension to be completed this year
(ERR)
“… riders will be able to take the number 4 tram all the way to Tallinn Airport, where the terminus of the tram line will be connected to the airport's passenger terminal via escalators and a gallery."





- Finland experiments with giving away free money
(Politico-Europe)
"The controversial idea, versions of which have been proposed in Switzerland and France, is that by providing a so-called basic income to citizens, whether they are in or out of work, the government can simplify the benefits system and free up individuals to take short-term work that otherwise wouldn’t be financially worthwhile."






- EU expands anti-fake-news task force
(Deutsche Welle)



Ukraine and Poland’s History Wars Are a Gift For Putin
(Foreign Policy)
--
Polish government wins Gdansk World War II museum case
(Deutsche Welle)
"A Polish court has ruled the governing Law and Justice Party can take control of a major new World War II museum in Gdansk, paving the way for a reframing of history to suit the nationalist party's ideological agenda."






_________________


Tuesday 24. Jan.
_________________


Veljo Tormis  Estonian composer whose works gave voice to revolution, dies at 86
(The Washington Post)
- Veljo Tormis - Raua needmine (Curse Upon Iron) 
(YouTube)



- U.S. Defense Chief Assures Allies Of 'Unshakable' NATO Commitment
(RFERL | Guardian)
--
- New Defense Secretary Calls NATO Chief on His First Day
(Politico-Europe)
"In a statement, Stoltenberg said, “I had an excellent discussion with Secretary Mattis today — a strong friend of NATO at the Pentagon. Secretary Mattis knows the Alliance’s value well, having been NATO’s Supreme Allied Commander for Transformation. I look forward to welcoming him back to the NATO family, and to seeing him at our next meeting of defense ministers in February.”
- The Identity of NATO
(NATO Review)



Russian Portal: "Trump is ‘an Existential Enemy of the Baltic Countries
(Window on Eurasia)
Propaganda"In a lead article today, the editors of the Rubaltic portal argue that the American leader has shown that he doesn’t need the Baltic countries as “an anti-Russian ‘buffer zone’ in Europe” and that he “does not intend to support America’s allies in the Baltic region” (rubaltic.ru/article/politika-i-obshchestvo/23012017-inauguratsionnaya-rech-trampa/).


- Estonian Philharmonic Chamber Choir Sings Arvo Part
(The Epoch Times)
--
- Estonian Philharmonic Choir at Princeton University
(Princeton University press release)



- Ukraine's Poroshenko and Finland's Niinistö meet
(Yle)
"Poroshenko arrived in Helsinki Tuesday from the Estonian capital Tallinn following a meeting there with Estonian President Kersti Kaljulaid on Monday. The planned agenda for Tuesday's talks between Poroshenko and Niinistö was reported to focus on the Ukraine conflict and the implementation of the Minsk Agreement, as well relations between the EU and Ukraine."






_________________


Monday 23. Jan.
_________________


- Ukraina president Porošenko külastas täna Eestit
(Postimees | ERR)
--
- Ukraine should decide its own future
(ERR)
- Estonia Supports Russian Sanctions, Visa-Free Travel For Ukrainians
(RFERL)
- Ukraine’s conflict with Russia is also financial
(The Economist)
"Russia may extract $3bn from Ukraine."



- "AK. Nädal" analüüsis ametisse astunud president Trumpi populaarsusreitingut
(ERR)
[ETV report from Washington DC.]



- Balti riikidel tuleb suhetes Venemaaga varuda kannatust
(ERR)



- Eesti nõiad on venelasi hullutanud juba tuhat aastat
(Eesti Ekspress)
[Requires subscription.]



- Latvian Foreign and Security Policy Yearbook 2017
(Latvian Institute of International Affairs)
[Downloadable PDF publication - 256 pages]



- Why Does the EU Get Such a Bad Rap?
(Spiegel)
"Across Europe, EU money flows from Brussels into thousands of projects and ideas. Why doesn’t anybody notice?"






_________________


Sunday 22. Jan.
_________________


- President Kaljuraid congratulated Trump on inauguration
(Baltic Times)
"Kaljulaid said she agrees with the view that an adequate level of defense spending is necessary in order for NATO to continue to effectively provide for collective defense. "We are proud to be one of the five NATO members that meet the defense budget target of 2 percent of GDP and we strongly encourage other allies to do the same."
--
- Prime minister congratulated President Trump on his inauguration
(ERR)
"The prime minister also thanked the president and the American people for the magnanimity with which they supported the Estonians who fled the Soviet occupation and found a new home in America."



Swedbank: Estonia's economy expected to grow 2.2 pct in 2017
(Baltic Business News)
- Baseless Invasion Talk Poses Economic Risk for Estonia
(Bloomberg)



- Estonia Should Be Your Next Vacation Destination
(W Magazine)







_________________


- Off Topic: Alternative facts
_________________


- Why ‘1984’ Is a 2017 Must-Read
(New York Times)
1984 shot to No. 1 on Amazon’s best-seller list this week after Kellyanne Conway, an adviser to President Trump, described demonstrable falsehoods told by the White House press secretary Sean Spicer - regarding the size of inaugural crowds - as “alternative facts.” It was a phrase chillingly reminiscent, for many readers, of the Ministry of Truth’s efforts in “1984” at “reality control.”
--
- In our Orwellian reality, reach for 'Animal Farm' with your ‘1984'
(PRI)
- Works by Sinclair Lewis, John Steinbeck, and Hannah Arendt have also had a spike in interest over the past year
(The Atlantic)



OpEd: Why Trump's Staff Is Lying
(Bloomberg)
"First and most obviously, the leader wishes to mislead the public, and wants to have subordinates doing so, in part because many citizens won’t pursue fact-checking. But that’s the obvious explanation, and the truth runs much deeper."
- Trump follows a simple strategy to take over the truth
(Salon)
--
- In Race Against Fake News, Google and Facebook Stroll to the Starting Line
(New York Times)
"Both companies have been grappling with a widespread backlash over how their sites may have spread rumors on a vast scale, and how little responsibility they take for any of the content that appears on their platforms." 
--
- 'Alternative Facts’: Needless Lies
(The Atlantic)
"If the president and his aides will tell easily disproven falsehoods about crowd sizes and speeches, what else will they be willing to dissemble about?"
OpEd: Trump is playing a dangerous game with 'alternative facts’
(CNBC)
"For two decades multiple presidents from both parties presented a long list of Alternative Facts as justification for the Vietnam War. Kennedy's insistence that troops were merely serving as advisors, Johnson's Gulf of Tonkin incident, and Richard Nixon's claim that he did not sabotage the 1968 peace talks could all be described as Alternative Facts. Years later, the Bush administration presented evidence of weapons of mass destruction in Iraq to justify that war. That "evidence" could also be filed in the category of Alternative Facts."

--
"Or you could also call them something else: lies."
- In a Swirl of ‘Untruths’ and ‘Falsehoods,’ Calling a Lie a Lie
(New York Times)
- Lies, Damned Lies, and Amazing New Euphemisms for Lying
(Slate)
--
- In the post-truth era a fake fact checker was inevitable
(The Guardian)
"A Swedish Facebook group called Mediekollen promises to debunk false information on the web. The twist? Mediekollen is faking its facts."








_________________


- Russia -
“Trust No One"
_________________


Satire: ‘Putin' assures Americans everything will be fine
(NBC - SNL)
“Relax! I’ve got this."



- Baker’s Dozen of Neglected Russian Stories
(Paul Goble)



--
- Russia is targeting French, Dutch and German elections with fake news, EU task force warns
(Telegraph-Uk)
"The number one target is Angela Merkel …"



- How close is Russia to unplugging from the internet?
(EU’s East StratCom Task Force)



- Russia: Life After Trust
(New York Magazine)
"One tends to imagine life in an autocratic regime as dominated by fear and oppression: armed men in the street, total surveillance, chanted slogans, and whispered secrets. It is probably a version of that picture that has been flitting lately through the nightmares of American liberals fretting about the damage a potential autocrat might do to an open society. But residents of a hybrid regime such as Russia’s — that is, an autocratic one that retains the façade of a democracy — know the Orwellian notion is needlessly romantic. Russian life, I soon found out, was marked less by fear than by cynicism: the all-pervasive idea that no institution is to be trusted, because no institution is bigger than the avarice of the person in charge."



- Here’s What Russia’s Military Build-Up in the Arctic Looks Like
(Foreign Policy)



- Briti vetest läbi seilav Vene “äbilaev" vallandas Moskva ja Londoni sõnasõja
(Postimees)
[British Armed Forces escort Russian vessels in the English channel.]



- Trump and Putin: inside the world's most dangerous special relationship
(The Telegraph - Edward Lucas)



- Investigators on any Trump-Russia Connection Should Talk to Sergei Millian
(Christian Science Monitor)
"Sergei Millian, the head of a Russian-American business group, claimed he helped Trump "study the Moscow market."



- Did Western Sanctions Actually Help the Russian Military?
(Foreign Policy)

_________
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__











20 January, 2017


✔ “... defeating us is impossible. It is possible to occupy us temporarily or to sometimes hurt us, but we cannot be defeated.” 
- Lithuanian President Dalia Grybauskaitė (via Window on Eurasia)


✔ How Russia is celebrating Donald Trump's inauguration 
- In the Russia category towards the end of the newsletter


- NB! The announcement that last week’s EstoNews (newsletter #111) would be the last one to be forwarded by Dr. Sõrra onto his e-mail list came quite unexpectedly. But literally within minutes of the announcement my inbox began filling up with dozens of e-mails requesting to be put onto the direct EstoNews mailing list. More have been received every day since. Thank you for your interest, support, and the many kind notes that accompanied your requests!  Aitäh!  






_________________

Friday 20. Jan.
_________________



✔ President Kaljulaid ei poolda Pätsile monumendi püstitamist
(ERR | Postimees)
“… ning peab õigemaks kõigi riigi asutajate pärandi jäädvustamist ühise mälestusmärgiga."
- Pätsi kuju plaan viis Kuberneri aia monumendi ideekonkursini
(ERR)



Interview: Edward Lucas 
- The Baltic States in a Post-NATO Environment
(Deep Baltic)
✔ Edward Lucas: oleme liikumas NATO-järgsesse keskkonda, mistõttu me peame olema suutelised ellu jääma ilma NATO’ta
(Delfi)



CommentaryThe Rights Of Small Nations
(Brian Whitmore)
"The sovereignty of Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Georgia, Moldova, or Ukraine is no less sacrosanct than that of Russia, France, Germany, or the United States. I believe this is a principle well worth defending. But in the Kremlin, of course, there's a different view."



- Pensionisüsteemi ekspert: pole universaalset arusaama, mis on õiglane
(ERR)
- Pension to depend on years worked
(Postimees)
--
What will happen to the retirement economy in the Baltic States?
(Baltic Course)
"The adverse demographic situation and labour migration are the basis of pessimism and non-confidence of the population, especially of the youth, in the state retirement system."



Finland: Over a thousand applications for the 'coolest job in the world' in Lapland’s Arctic Snow Hotel
(Yle)





_________________

Thursday 19. Jan.

_________________






- Taas saab taotleda soodusviisat Venemaal käimiseks
(Lõunaeestlane)
"Pean oluliseks, et piirialade inimesed saaksid külastada oma sugulasi ja esivanemate või sugulaste kalme teisel pool piiri. See toetab üle põlvkondade püsinud sidemete jätkumist."



- Estonia worries about Moscow
(CNN via KXLF - Montana)



- ICDS To Survey Young Russians in Estonia
(Postimees)
"The International Center for Defense and Security (ICDS) is conducting a survey to determine attitudes of young Russian-speaking people in Estonia towards national defense and security, as well as their loyalty to the state.”
“The main aim of the survey is to map the general knowledge of young Russian-speakers living in Estonia of national defense and security and look into their personal attitudes, understanding, and positions to have reliable data on that age group.”



- Hundreds of German soldiers prepare to deploy to Baltics for NATO
(Deutsche Welle)
"26 tanks and 170 other military vehicles, including Marder armored vehicles and Leopard 2 tanks, would be stationed alongside the NATO force, some just 100 kilometers away from the Russian exclave of Kaliningrad."
- Slovenia Plans To Contribute Troops To Latvia For NATO Force
(RFERL)



- The Threat From Kaliningrad Is Real
(Real Clear World)
"Putin’s most recent act (October 2016) was to move two missile corvettes (the Serpukhov and the Zeleny Dol) from their base in the Black Sea to Kaliningrad. These Russian warships are equipped with Kalibr cruise missiles, … the Kalibr missiles have a range of more than 900 miles and from Kaliningrad can reach most NATO capitals.
--
"It is no wonder that the former commander of U.S. and allied air forces in Europe, retired Gen. Frank Gorenc, warned that NATO needs to come to "the realization that we don't have complete air dominance," and that in a crisis, significant parts of NATO territory would be “contested airspace.”



Norway's Radical Military Experiment
(Foreign Affairs - login required)
"How Full Gender Integration Paid Off."



TranscriptU.S. Ambassador to the U.N. Samantha Power’s Speech Regarding Russia
(Time)
“… we have to do a better job of informing our citizens about the seriousness of the threat the Russian Government poses.



- Domestic Refugees in Ukraine: Waiting Out the War
(Spiegel)






_________________


Wednesday 18. Jan.
_________________


✔ CIA avalikustas suure hulga vanu dokumente, millest osa puudutab ka okupeeritud Balti riike
(ERR | Postimees)
--
- CIA tegi 1954. aastal ülevaate eesti slängist ja kõnepruugist
- Märksõnaga «Estonia» leiab CIA andmebaasist mitu tuhat viidet Eestile
- CIA raport: Raske iseloomuga eestlased tegid Nõukogude võimudele allumatusega tüli



- CIA places 12 million pages of documents online
(UPI)
--
- New CIA 'Public Reading Room'
(CIA)
[Three examples of Estonia-related CIA reports are below.]
"Communist Activity, Morale, and Resistance - Dated 1952
"General Conditions in Estonia - Dated 1953
"Building Activity in Estonia since WW2” - Dated 1954



- Estonians join paramilitary forces to face Russia fears
(Japan Times)
“In the worst case scenario, Russia could advance very swiftly to take all of Estonia, but with its own resistance, Estonia could buy more time” for help to arrive, said Kristi Raik, a senior Baltic security researcher at the Finnish Institute of International Affairs, stressing that any such attack was unlikely at the moment."



- Moscow may return to ratification of Estonian-Russian border treaty
(The Baltic Times)
“… when bilateral relations are constructive …” [Whatever that may mean.]
From Pro-Kremlin's TASS: "Russia to ratify border agreement with Estonia only if confrontation ruled out"
"Tallinn’s rhetoric was absolutely inappropriate for the continuation of this process without stirring up our public’s indignation.” - Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov



- Estonia, Lithuania Sign Deals With U.S. To Allow Troop Deployments
(RFERL | ERR | VOA)



- The summer I froze in the Cold War
(The Sydney Morning Herald)
[An Australian journalist’s experience while visiting the Viru Hotel in 1988.]



EU: Why doesn't Europe protect itself?
(The Week)
"Is the original (NATO) mission obsolete?"
--
"The Baltic states don't think so. The citizens of Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania are acutely aware of Russia's involvement in fomenting secession in the Trans-Dniestria region of Moldova, in the Crimean peninsula of Ukraine, and in the Abkhazia and South Ossetia regions of Georgia, as well as the ways in which Russia has drawn former Soviet states like Belarus, Armenia, and Kazakhstan back into close embrace by their old metropole. They have every reason to fear similar moves to undermine their own prized independence."
--
"Keeping the Russians "out," then, is still an entirely valid mission — and a good reason for a defensive alliance aimed at achieving collective security."



- Strategic importance of Rail Baltic is limited to peacetime operations
(ERR)
"Rail Baltic will be of importance to Estonia’s national defense, but only before an actual armed conflict. Though it makes the large-scale transport of equipment and troops to the Baltic states possible, in case of an attack it is vulnerable, and would likely be cut off very soon … due to Russia’s so-called A2/AD set-up in the area. A2/AD stands for “Anti-access and area denial”. The former means limiting an enemy from entering an operational area, the latter limiting the enemy’s operative capabilities within it.



- Thousands of Estonian ID cards expire this year
(ERR | Postimees)
"A bigger wave of ID-card replacements is expected this year, as new ID-cards were issued in 2012 with a validity period of five years. Nearly 200,000 Estonian citizen ID-cards and 150,000 passports will expire in 2017.” [Mine included!]
"April will mark the end of several years of preparations for the end of the life cycle of 1,024-bit RSA algorithm-based document certificates and the adoption of keys sporting a stronger level of encryption."



- Enterprise Estonia: There will be no new Estonian logo
(ERR)
"Enterprise Estonia has admitted that a thing or two could have been done differently, which would have avoided for example the printing of green splotches, misunderstood by many to be the country's new logo and the subject of a number of unflattering nicknames on social media following its public unveiling last week, on reusable bags made in India."




_________________


Tuesday 17. Jan.
_________________


Inimesed ei mõista Eesti uut brändi 
(Delfi)
"Oksendav kilpkonn, nuttev siil, või rändrahn?”
--
--
- Estonia’s new branding is more style over substance
(Estonian World)
Arvamus: Eesti bränd – miks mitte hoopis Estland, ristilipp ja Rising North? 
(Eesti Päevaleht)



- Miljonipeldik tähistab 15 a. sünnipäeva
(Delfi)
"2002. aastal avati toona suurt furoori tekitanud ühiskasutatav tualett, mille maksumuseks kujunes lausa 2,3 miljonit krooni."



e-Estonia
(Deutsche Welle video)



Foorum: Kui suures mureks peaks olema Eesti Donald Trumpi ametisseastumisel?
(Postimees)



- Eesti blues through the eyes of photographer Tõnu Runnel
(Estonian World)



Video: Ice Skating over Frozen Rummu Prison
(Daily Mail)









_________________


Monday 16. Jan.
_________________


- President Kaljulaid: keeldun ütlemast, et Trumpi saamine USA presidendiks on täiendav risk meile
(Delfi)



- EU foreign ministers, NATO backers counter Trump talk
(Deutsche Welle)



- Vene kindrali kaardil on Soome ja Rootsi Lapimaa sõjapiirkond
(Delfi)



- In Final Visit To Kyiv, Biden Urges World To Stand Against Russian Aggression
(RFERL)
"Russia, Biden said, has used corruption as a "tool of coercion" to keep Ukraine within its sphere of influence. Fighting corruption is not just a matter of good governance, it is essential for self-preservation and security, he said."



- Trumpi hinnangul on NATO iganenud organisatsioon
(Postimees | ERR)
"USA presidendiks valitud Donald Trump ütles esmaspäeval usutluses ajalehtedele Times ja Bild, et NATO on iganenud organisatsioon, millel on suured probleemid."



- European leaders shocked as Trump slams NATO and E.U
(Washington Post | Reuters | BBC | New York Times)
--
--
--



- As Trump Era Arrives, a Sense of Uncertainty Grips the World
(New York Times)
"He repeated past criticisms that NATO is “obsolete” for supposedly not confronting terrorism, only to quickly add that “with that being said, NATO is very important to me.”





_________________


Sunday 15. Jan.
_________________


- Even If West Recognized a Russian Sphere of Influence, Moscow Lacks the Resources to Hold It
(Window on Eurasia)
 "Even if Donald Trump or other Western leaders were to recognize a region as lying within Russia’s sphere of influence, Moscow does not have the resources to hold it for long given the hostility to Russia felt the peoples of the countries within such a sphere, according to Ukrainian commentator Vitaly Portnikov.”
"Stalin’s “zone of influence was purchased with millions of lives of Soviet soldiers who died in order to secure the dictator not simply victory over the Reich but also territories in Europe and Asia. Putin’s “zone of influence would also have to be paid for with the blood both of Russians and residents of countries” he wants to include within it."



- US forces in Poland: Here to stay
(Deutsche Welle)
"A joint alliance force, known as Enhanced Forward Presence (EFP), is set to join, with Poland and the Baltic states of Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia each receiving a multinational battalion. All are NATO members. British troops will be in charge in Estonia, Canadian troops in Latvia and additional US troops are expected to arrive in April to take over operations there."



- Lithuania ‘Might Be Occupied for a Time but It Can Never be Defeated,' Grybauskaitė Says
(Window on Eurasia)
"Twenty-six years ago ... Soviet forces acting under orders from Mikhail Gorbachev shot and killed 14 Lithuanian demonstrators and wounded 600 others whose only “crime” was seeking to recover de facto what they had never lost de jure, their state independence that Moscow stole from it by means of a criminal deal with Adolf Hitler.
Lithuanian President Dalia Grybauskaitė speaking today said what Lithuanians felt then and feel now: “We were all worried and literally glued to our TVs and radios and it seemed that everything was at an end, that we did not know what would happen in the next minute … “we knew then and we know now that defeating us is impossible. It is possible to occupy us temporarily or to sometimes hurt us, but we cannot be defeated.”





_________________


- Russia -
“Trust No One"
_________________

- MOSCOW, January 20. /TASS/ - "Russia’s President Vladimir Putin is unlikely to watch inauguration of the US new President Donald Trump, press secretary of the Russian president Dmitry Peskov told reporters"I do not think he plans to watch it (Trump’s inauguration) online, as it is quite a time-taking ceremony," the Kremlin’s representative said, adding Putin, of course, will learn about this event from the news."


- Russia Celebrates Trump’s Inaugural
(The Daily Beast)
"For what must be the first time in history, Russians are treating the day an American president swears to “preserve, protect and defend the Constitution of the United States” as their own significant event."
- Russians Celebrate Trump Inauguration With Swag and Discounts
(Foreign Policy)
- How Russia is celebrating Donald Trump's inauguration
(Washington Post)
- Russians Await Donald Trump's Inauguration With Anticipation
(NPR)
- In Trump We Trust: Inauguration prompts celebration in Russia
(Reuters)




- Baker’s Dozen of Neglected Russian Stories
(Paul Goble)



OpEd: The inevitable Trumputin divorce
(Aljazeera)
"Why it is not meant to be for Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump."



OpEd: Russia Gains When Trump Trashes NATO
(New York Times)
"Mr. Putin … has been working assiduously ... to destabilize Europe and weaken if not destroy NATO, which he blames for the Soviet Union’s collapse. Mr. Putin will almost certainly try to persuade Mr. Trump to withdraw American support for NATO’s plans to reinforce its defenses against a newly assertive Russia. As part of that effort, an American convoy crossed into Poland last week; on Monday, the deployment of 330 American Marines to Norway began. Reversing course any time soon would be a huge mistake."



✔ Analysis: Key Pillars of Russian Strategy
(War on the Rocks - A must-read)
“… various asymmetric means are how Russia prefers to actually make gains at low cost. There is also an emerging understanding that pervasive domains like cyber and information tinge even local conflicts with an element of total war fought throughout the depth of the adversary’s lines. This is why a confrontation over Ukraine and Syria would not leave Washington unscathed for long."
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"These focus areas are well-suited to Russia’s limitations in hard economic and military power, leveraging indirect warfare, and its first-mover advantages as the initiator of confrontation. Still, new generation warfare betrays a lust for high-tech conventional warfare — having lots of missiles sticking out of your pocket to make the United States think twice about conflict. The implication for NATO planners in all of this is that new generation warfare reflects Russian thinking on how to make strategic gains with asymmetric means, not expensive pushes for real estate and large force-on-force contests. This may help explain why Moscow has never been keen on the supposedly tantalizing Baltic “fait accompli.”



OpEd: Trump’s Pivotal Russian Test
(New York Times)
"There’s a mood of confidence in Moscow bordering on triumphalism.”



- The Price of Appeasing Russian Adventurism
(Carnegie Europe)
“… one wonders whether Trump and other so-called ‘ utinversteher' in the incoming administration fully understand the stakes. The risks do not only concern the fundamental national interests of such pro-American countries as Ukraine, Estonia, Georgia, or Poland. The U.S. administration’s tolerance of Russia’s violation of Ukrainian territorial integrity would have larger implications for the future of humanity."



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